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Who does South Africa rely on?

The largest supplier of South Africa in 2024 is China, with 22.2% of what South Africa buys. Its share was 18.6% in 2019 and 2.2% in 1995. 420 of the 981 products South Africa buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what South Africa buys of that product; in 140, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 22.5% of what South Africa buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: China
22.2%
Concentration (HHI)
707
Products with a supplier above 50%
420
Products with a supplier above 75%
140

Concentration index (HHI): 707 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 14 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 2.2% to 22.2% of what South Africa buys

Share (%)

  • China 22.2%
  • India 7.4%
  • Germany 6.1%
  • United States 6%
  • Oman 3%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995Germany15%
1996United States13.5%
1997United States14.2%
1998United States14.6%
1999United States13.8%
2000United States12.2%
2001United States11.9%
2002Germany12%
2003Germany11.8%
2004Germany11%
2005Germany10.9%
2006Germany10.4%
2007China10.6%
2008China11%
2009China12.1%
2010China13.4%
2011China13.4%
2012China12.9%
2013China15%
2014China15.7%
2015China18.7%
2016China17.9%
2017China18.1%
2018China18.6%
2019China18.6%
2020China20.3%
2021China20.7%
2022China20.5%
2023China20.8%
2024China22.2%

Its suppliers

  1. China$22.1 billion · 22.2%
  2. India$7.3 billion · 7.4%
  3. Germany$6 billion · 6.1%
  4. United States$6 billion · 6%
  5. Oman$3 billion · 3%
  6. United Arab Emirates$3 billion · 3%
  7. Nigeria$2.5 billion · 2.6%
  8. Saudi Arabia$2.5 billion · 2.5%
  9. Thailand$2.5 billion · 2.5%
  10. Italy$2.4 billion · 2.4%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 981 products South Africa buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
GoldTanzania55.1%Namibia · 19.7%$4 billion
Cameras and broadcast equipmentChina65.4%Vietnam · 11.5%$3 billion
ComputersChina56.9%United States · 11.7%$1.9 billion
Nickel matteZimbabwe100%over 75%Germany · 0%$985 million
Natural gas and LPGMozambique51.7%United States · 43.6%$804 million
Transformers and power suppliesChina60.1%Brazil · 5%$799 million
Aluminum oxide and hydroxideAustralia97%over 75%China · 1.2%$676 million
BatteriesChina73.9%Germany · 6.6%$646 million
RiceThailand76.4%over 75%India · 20%$639 million
Fragrance mixturesEswatini57.5%India · 8.6%$618 million
Generating setsChina73.1%India · 11.5%$569 million
Palm oilIndonesia62.2%Malaysia · 36.6%$500 million
Copper wireUnited Arab Emirates66.7%Germany · 9.2%$493 million
Airplanes and helicoptersUnited States54.4%Canada · 18.6%$467 million
Coated flat steelChina61%Germany · 14.1%$456 million
Spark-ignition enginesGermany62.7%Czechia · 9.7%$449 million
Rubber and plastic footwearChina73.6%Vietnam · 8.5%$425 million
Diodes, transistors and solar cellsChina91.7%over 75%Thailand · 1.7%$394 million
ElectricityMozambique99.8%over 75%Namibia · 0.22%$353 million
Poultry meatBrazil75.1%over 75%Spain · 7.1%$313 million
Hot-rolled flat steelChina66.5%Japan · 12%$309 million
Cane and beet sugarEswatini80.7%over 75%Brazil · 13.6%$304 million
Electric heaters and hair dryersChina78.2%over 75%Italy · 6%$300 million
FurnitureChina75%Italy · 3.5%$286 million
Phones and telecom equipmentChina85.4%over 75%Vietnam · 3.1%$266 million

and 395 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: China
18.4%
Concentration (HHI)
673

Concentration index (HHI): 673 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 15 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

China went from 1.6% to 18.4% of what South Africa sells

Share (%)

  • China 18.4%
  • United States 9.2%
  • United Kingdom 8.2%
  • India 7.7%
  • Germany 5.9%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995United Kingdom10.6%
1996Japan9.8%
1997United States9.3%
1998United States11.1%
1999United States10.5%
2000United States11.4%
2001United States11.9%
2002United Kingdom13.2%
2003United Kingdom13.3%
2004United Kingdom10.7%
2005United Kingdom10%
2006United States9.8%
2007United Kingdom9.7%
2008United Kingdom10.2%
2009United Kingdom7%
2010India8.3%
2011China10.9%
2012China8.7%
2013China9.3%
2014China9.1%
2015China24.6%
2016China17.7%
2017China17.4%
2018China17%
2019China16.7%
2020China13%
2021China14.2%
2022China17.7%
2023China19%
2024China18.4%

201 of the 923 products South Africa sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what South Africa sells of that product; in 60, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 13.2% of what South Africa sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Chromium oreChina61.4%Mozambique · 24.6%$7.7 billion
Iron oreChina52.9%Mozambique · 9.8%$6.8 billion
Manganese oreChina58.4%India · 18%$3.3 billion
Other precious metal articlesUnited States96.4%over 75%Canada · 3.6%$2.8 billion
Precious metal oreGermany64.2%United Kingdom · 29.7%$1.4 billion
Dissolving wood pulpIndia51.8%China · 27%$1 billion
CornZimbabwe59.4%Namibia · 9.6%$991 million
Refined copperChina65.1%Netherlands · 15.5%$656 million
Niobium, tantalum, vanadium and zirconium oreChina61.4%Malaysia · 6.5%$620 million
Other nuts (almonds, walnuts)China64.2%United States · 10.7%$473 million
Unrefined copperChina99.5%over 75%Thailand · 0.42%$441 million
Slag and ash with metalsBelgium76.7%over 75%United States · 14.4%$387 million
Sulfates and alumsBelgium58%Indonesia · 15.6%$302 million
Zinc oreChina85.4%over 75%South Korea · 10.3%$287 million
JewelryUnited States85.7%over 75%Hong Kong · 5%$286 million

and 186 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
176Morocco720
177Slovakia714
178South Africa707
179Kuwait705
180Burkina Faso704
181Singapore704

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.