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How dependent is South Africa on Mozambique?

In 2024, Mozambique sold $1.1 billion to South Africa, 1.1% of its imports, ranking 24th among its suppliers. Its share was 1.1% in 2019 and 0.12% in 1995. In 9 products it sells more than 50% of what South Africa buys of them (in 3, more than 75%); what South Africa buys from Mozambique in those products (dominated value) adds up to $863 million, 0.87% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
1.1%
Value imported
$1.1billion
Rank among its suppliers
24th
Products where it sells over 50%
9
Products where it sells over 75%
3
Dominated value
$863million
Share of total imports
0.9%

Trend

Trend in shares

Mozambique went from 0.12% to 1.1% of what South Africa buys

Share (%)

  • Mozambique 1.1%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
1995330.12%48
1996180.07%59
1997370.15%45
1998360.15%42
1999530.22%42
2000490.18%47
2001470.18%51
2002570.22%49
20031450.42%38
20041750.36%42
20052670.47%43
20063120.44%44
20075040.62%41
20084170.46%42
20094750.68%36
20105590.63%35
20111,1091%30
20121,3931.2%20
20131,6221.5%19
20141,3751.3%20
20158921.1%26
20167911%26
20171,0331.2%22
20181,6271.8%13
20199681.1%22
20209471.3%22
20211,0721.1%26
20221,2921.2%26
20231,0370.98%29
20241,0911.1%24

Products where Mozambique sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Natural gas and LPGMozambique51.7%United States · 43.6%$415 million
ElectricityMozambique99.8%over 75%Namibia · 0.22%$352 million
BananasMozambique69.7%Eswatini · 23.4%$36 million
Ceramic building bricksMozambique99.4%over 75%China · 0.28%$18 million
Bran and milling residuesMozambique60.5%Lesotho · 11.2%$15 million
Pig ironMozambique94.7%over 75%Australia · 3.1%$14 million
Large-diameter steel pipesMozambique74.5%China · 18.6%$7 million
MolassesMozambique72.9%Zambia · 22%$5 million
Melons, watermelons and papayasMozambique50.2%Namibia · 47.2%$1 million

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Mozambique

South Africa is Mozambique’s 4th-largest customer, with 7.8% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.