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Who does Kazakhstan rely on?

The largest supplier of Kazakhstan in 2024 is Russia, with 29.1% of what Kazakhstan buys. Its share was 34.4% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. 487 of the 904 products Kazakhstan buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Kazakhstan buys of that product; in 185, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 31.8% of what Kazakhstan buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: Russia
29.1%
Concentration (HHI)
1,580
Products with a supplier above 50%
487
Products with a supplier above 75%
185

Concentration index (HHI): 1,580 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 6 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

Russia went from 0% to 29.1% of what Kazakhstan buys

Share (%)

  • Russia 29.1%
  • China 25.4%
  • Germany 4.7%
  • Turkey 3.4%
  • United States 3.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995Germany21.4%
1996Russia60.6%
1997Russia52.3%
1998Russia34.4%
1999Russia35.8%
2000Russia45.4%
2001Russia41.2%
2002Russia34.6%
2003Russia36.7%
2004Russia34.8%
2005Russia36.1%
2006Russia36.6%
2007Russia34.1%
2008Russia35.4%
2009Russia30.8%
2010Russia21.7%
2011Russia40.9%
2012Russia36.1%
2013Russia34.9%
2014Russia32.5%
2015Russia33.1%
2016Russia35.9%
2017Russia38.8%
2018Russia37.2%
2019Russia34.4%
2020Russia37.2%
2021Russia40.8%
2022Russia31.9%
2023China28.6%
2024Russia29.1%

Its suppliers

  1. Russia$18.2 billion · 29.1%
  2. China$15.9 billion · 25.4%
  3. Germany$2.9 billion · 4.7%
  4. Turkey$2.1 billion · 3.4%
  5. United States$2.1 billion · 3.4%
  6. South Korea$2 billion · 3.2%
  7. France$1.8 billion · 2.9%
  8. Italy$1.3 billion · 2.1%
  9. Uzbekistan$1.3 billion · 2.1%
  10. Japan$1.2 billion · 1.9%

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 904 products Kazakhstan buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Cameras and broadcast equipmentChina53.1%Vietnam · 22.3%$1.6 billion
Natural gas and LPGRussia80.7%over 75%Turkmenistan · 19.3%$772 million
ComputersChina80.6%over 75%Czechia · 5.8%$765 million
Refined petroleumRussia56.2%Turkey · 7.5%$603 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsChina57.4%Japan · 16.5%$583 million
Radioactive elementsRussia86.5%over 75%China · 11.6%$553 million
GoldRussia100%over 75%United Kingdom · 0%$541 million
Centrifuges and filtersChina50.2%Russia · 10.1%$496 million
Steel structuresRussia53.3%China · 22.6%$417 million
Semi-finished steelRussia99.8%over 75%China · 0.15%$412 million
Unrefined copperRussia100%over 75%United Kingdom · 0.01%$385 million
ChocolateRussia55.2%Ukraine · 12.6%$382 million
WheatRussia99.6%over 75%China · 0.27%$381 million
Bed, table and kitchen linenRussia66.8%China · 26.9%$375 million
Computer and office machine partsChina54.6%Czechia · 7.8%$364 million
Cane and beet sugarRussia80.1%over 75%Brazil · 14.5%$346 million
Bread, biscuits and pastriesRussia70.9%Kyrgyzstan · 5.6%$341 million
Steel barsRussia89%over 75%Kyrgyzstan · 9.9%$338 million
Women's suits and dressesChina56.5%Turkey · 17.3%$308 million
Detergents and surfactantsRussia52.6%Turkey · 8.9%$306 million
ElectricityRussia97.5%over 75%Uzbekistan · 2.4%$302 million
Railway freight carsRussia90.2%over 75%Uzbekistan · 5.3%$298 million
T-shirtsChina56%Turkey · 14.3%$265 million
PolyethyleneRussia61.2%Iran · 11.4%$257 million
Welded steel pipesRussia92.2%over 75%China · 3.3%$250 million

and 462 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: China
16.8%
Concentration (HHI)
667

Concentration index (HHI): 667 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 15 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

Russia went from 0% to 10.6% of what Kazakhstan sells

Share (%)

  • China 16.8%
  • Russia 10.6%
  • Italy 7.7%
  • United Kingdom 6.6%
  • Netherlands 5.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995China21.7%
1996Russia60.2%
1997Russia48.6%
1998Russia26.5%
1999Russia26.3%
2000Russia19.2%
2001Russia16.7%
2002Bermuda16.4%
2003Bermuda15.7%
2004Italy14.9%
2005Russia11.3%
2006Russia11.1%
2007China13.2%
2008China12.4%
2009China13.9%
2010China18.1%
2011China21%
2012China20.5%
2013China20.3%
2014China14.3%
2015China12.8%
2016China12.2%
2017China12.3%
2018China11.8%
2019China14.2%
2020China20.8%
2021China15.8%
2022China14.6%
2023China15.9%
2024China16.8%

449 of the 582 products Kazakhstan sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Kazakhstan sells of that product; in 281, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 25.4% of what Kazakhstan sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
GoldUnited Kingdom61.6%Switzerland · 30.8%$8.8 billion
Refined copperChina62.4%Turkey · 34.6%$4.3 billion
Copper oreChina90.8%over 75%Russia · 6.8%$3.2 billion
Natural gas and LPGChina69.6%Turkey · 9.5%$1.9 billion
SulfurMorocco87%over 75%Israel · 2.7%$1 billion
Airplanes and helicoptersIreland67.1%Turkey · 15.2%$931 million
Iron oreChina51.7%Russia · 47.8%$794 million
Hot-rolled flat steelRussia71%Uzbekistan · 20%$645 million
Wheat flourAfghanistan62.6%Uzbekistan · 26.2%$507 million
Aluminum oxide and hydroxideRussia81.7%over 75%Tajikistan · 14.9%$459 million
Coated flat steelRussia79.1%over 75%Uzbekistan · 5.7%$397 million
Cold-rolled flat steelRussia63.3%Uzbekistan · 21.9%$374 million
Nuclear reactors and fuelChina98.2%over 75%Finland · 1.8%$362 million
Precious metal oreChina93.7%over 75%Uzbekistan · 5.9%$343 million
Zinc oreChina65.1%Russia · 23.5%$341 million

and 434 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
80Micronesia1,608
81Namibia1,597
82Kazakhstan1,580
83Sudan1,537
84Mali1,536
85Grenada1,526

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.