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Who does Namibia rely on?

The largest supplier of Namibia in 2024 is South Africa, with 37.1% of what Namibia buys. Its share was 52.2% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. 376 of the 505 products Namibia buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Namibia buys of that product; in 198, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 44.9% of what Namibia buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: South Africa
37.1%
Concentration (HHI)
1,597
Products with a supplier above 50%
376
Products with a supplier above 75%
198

Concentration index (HHI): 1,597 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 6 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

South Africa went from 0% to 37.1% of what Namibia buys

Share (%)

  • South Africa 37.1%
  • China 10.8%
  • Zambia 3.9%
  • Peru 3.5%
  • United Arab Emirates 3.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995——
1996——
1997——
1998——
1999——
2000South Africa82%
2001South Africa81.4%
2002South Africa71.6%
2003South Africa74.8%
2004South Africa79.2%
2005South Africa77.3%
2006South Africa77.4%
2007South Africa71.2%
2008South Africa63.1%
2009South Africa65.6%
2010South Africa66.2%
2011South Africa66.9%
2012South Africa62.3%
2013South Africa56.9%
2014South Africa54%
2015South Africa57.2%
2016South Africa54.1%
2017South Africa53.6%
2018South Africa42.3%
2019South Africa52.2%
2020South Africa48%
2021South Africa39.4%
2022South Africa37.5%
2023South Africa36.8%
2024South Africa37.1%

Its suppliers

  1. South Africa$3.4 billion · 37.1%
  2. China$992 million · 10.8%
  3. Zambia$361 million · 3.9%
  4. Peru$318 million · 3.5%
  5. United Arab Emirates$316 million · 3.5%
  6. India$309 million · 3.4%
  7. United States$305 million · 3.3%
  8. Germany$232 million · 2.5%
  9. Oman$208 million · 2.3%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 505 products Namibia buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Copper orePeru74.3%Bulgaria · 18.7%$427 million
TrucksSouth Africa68.1%China · 15.5%$265 million
Nickel oreZambia98.7%over 75%Democratic Republic of the Congo · 0.84%$242 million
ElectricitySouth Africa50.3%Zambia · 42.4%$204 million
Airplanes and helicoptersChina87.2%over 75%United States · 6.4%$164 million
Cobalt oxidesDemocratic Republic of the Congo99%over 75%Zambia · 1.1%$144 million
Medicines in measured doses or retail packsSouth Africa59.9%India · 20.4%$141 million
Cane and beet sugarSouth Africa93.7%over 75%Brazil · 2.9%$99 million
CornSouth Africa95.9%over 75%United States · 3.5%$99 million
Cargo and cruise shipsAngola99.7%over 75%South Africa · 0.31%$98 million
Mixed fertilizersMorocco71.7%South Africa · 26.6%$77 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentChina62.9%South Africa · 19.2%$72 million
TractorsSouth Africa71.3%China · 12.8%$69 million
Detergents and surfactantsSouth Africa73.3%France · 11.2%$61 million
Dredgers and floating cranesNigeria99.3%over 75%Malaysia · 0.55%$56 million
WineSouth Africa94.4%over 75%France · 4.1%$53 million
Pet and animal feedSouth Africa93.9%over 75%Zambia · 2.6%$53 million
Plastic packagingSouth Africa87.6%over 75%China · 3.7%$52 million
ComputersChina67.2%South Africa · 15.6%$49 million
SpiritsSouth Africa62.3%United Kingdom · 9.3%$47 million
Bulk medicinesSouth Africa65.8%India · 20.3%$45 million
Steel structuresSouth Africa53.1%China · 13.1%$44 million
Sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oilSouth Africa97.3%over 75%Turkey · 2.2%$43 million
Makeup and skin careSouth Africa84.5%over 75%Poland · 5.2%$42 million
Toilet paper and tissuesSouth Africa96.5%over 75%China · 0.86%$41 million

and 351 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: China
22.9%
Concentration (HHI)
1,097

Concentration index (HHI): 1,097 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 9 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

China went from 0% to 22.9% of what Namibia sells

Share (%)

  • China 22.9%
  • South Africa 15.5%
  • Botswana 12.3%
  • Belgium 9%
  • Zambia 6%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995——
1996——
1997——
1998——
1999——
2000South Africa19.8%
2001United Kingdom33.1%
2002United Kingdom20.7%
2003South Africa21.5%
2004South Africa22.9%
2005South Africa28.9%
2006South Africa23.4%
2007South Africa28.7%
2008South Africa25.9%
2009South Africa31.3%
2010South Africa25.2%
2011South Africa23.1%
2012South Africa13.4%
2013South Africa22.2%
2014Botswana16.3%
2015Botswana21.9%
2016Switzerland16.9%
2017South Africa15.6%
2018South Africa15.6%
2019South Africa21.6%
2020South Africa24.2%
2021South Africa26.4%
2022South Africa28.6%
2023South Africa26.8%
2024China22.9%

106 of the 160 products Namibia sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Namibia sells of that product; in 55, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 62.7% of what Namibia sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
DiamondsBotswana64.3%United Arab Emirates · 14.4%$1.1 billion
Uranium and thorium oreChina74.6%France · 12.9%$1.1 billion
Radioactive elementsChina82.9%over 75%South Korea · 11.6%$847 million
GoldSouth Africa100%over 75%—$797 million
Fish filletsSpain51.5%France · 12.8%$358 million
Refined copperBelgium71.2%Netherlands · 23.1%$355 million
Unrefined copperBelgium100%over 75%Côte d'Ivoire · 0%$346 million
Refined petroleumBotswana76.4%over 75%Malta · 5.4%$286 million
Cobalt oxidesChina61.2%Saudi Arabia · 13.5%$119 million
Live cattleSouth Africa96.6%over 75%Angola · 2.1%$85 million
BeerSouth Africa90.1%over 75%Tanzania · 3.9%$68 million
New tiresZambia98.2%over 75%Democratic Republic of the Congo · 0.55%$46 million
Live sheep and goatsSouth Africa97.6%over 75%Botswana · 1.3%$46 million
Mixed fertilizersZambia71.6%Zimbabwe · 28.2%$43 million
Ferrous scrapIndia58.8%United Arab Emirates · 33.8%$41 million

and 91 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
79Honduras1,628
80Micronesia1,608
81Namibia1,597
82Kazakhstan1,580
83Sudan1,537
84Mali1,536

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.