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How dependent is Kazakhstan on Russia?

In 2024, Russia sold $18.2 billion to Kazakhstan, 29.1% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 34.4% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. In 232 products it sells more than 50% of what Kazakhstan buys of them (in 104, more than 75%); what Kazakhstan buys from Russia in those products (dominated value) adds up to $11.6 billion, 18.5% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
29.1%
Value imported
$18.2billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
232
Products where it sells over 75%
104
Dominated value
$11.6billion
Share of total imports
18.5%

Trend

Trend in shares

Russia went from 0% to 29.1% of what Kazakhstan buys

Share (%)

  • Russia 29.1%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199500%—
19962,38960.6%1
19972,07352.3%1
19981,77534.4%1
19991,22635.8%1
20002,18545.4%1
20012,69841.2%1
20022,48634.6%1
20033,33236.7%1
20044,77434.8%1
20056,57536.1%1
20069,00836.6%1
200711,63634.1%1
200813,44135.4%1
20098,79830.8%1
20105,47221.7%1
201116,23140.9%1
201216,09936.1%1
201317,66334.9%1
201413,98532.5%1
201510,70333.1%1
20169,97835.9%1
201712,56238.8%1
201813,20337.2%1
201914,17634.4%1
202013,82437.2%1
202117,85540.8%1
202217,33131.9%1
202316,14024.9%2
202418,23629.1%1

Products where Russia sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Natural gas and LPGRussia80.7%over 75%Turkmenistan · 19.3%$623 million
GoldRussia100%over 75%United Kingdom · 0%$541 million
Radioactive elementsRussia86.5%over 75%China · 11.6%$478 million
Semi-finished steelRussia99.8%over 75%China · 0.15%$411 million
Unrefined copperRussia100%over 75%United Kingdom · 0.01%$385 million
WheatRussia99.6%over 75%China · 0.27%$380 million
Refined petroleumRussia56.2%Turkey · 7.5%$339 million
Steel barsRussia89%over 75%Kyrgyzstan · 9.9%$301 million
ElectricityRussia97.5%over 75%Uzbekistan · 2.4%$295 million
Cane and beet sugarRussia80.1%over 75%Brazil · 14.5%$277 million
Railway freight carsRussia90.2%over 75%Uzbekistan · 5.3%$269 million
Bed, table and kitchen linenRussia66.8%China · 26.9%$251 million
Bread, biscuits and pastriesRussia70.9%Kyrgyzstan · 5.6%$242 million
Welded steel pipesRussia92.2%over 75%China · 3.3%$230 million
Steel angles and sectionsRussia91.3%over 75%China · 4.7%$225 million
Steel structuresRussia53.3%China · 22.6%$222 million
Other knitted garmentsRussia97.2%over 75%Malaysia · 0.65%$219 million
ChocolateRussia55.2%Ukraine · 12.6%$211 million
Large-diameter steel pipesRussia95.9%over 75%China · 2.7%$209 million
Petroleum coke and bitumenRussia88.6%over 75%Kyrgyzstan · 10.9%$197 million
Hot-rolled flat steelRussia96.8%over 75%China · 1.6%$185 million
Detergents and surfactantsRussia52.6%Turkey · 8.9%$161 million
PolyethyleneRussia61.2%Iran · 11.4%$157 million
Zinc oreRussia69.6%Tajikistan · 30.4%$157 million
CoalRussia99.2%over 75%United Kingdom · 0.65%$146 million
Particle board and OSBRussia81.7%over 75%Belarus · 17%$141 million
CokeRussia86.5%over 75%China · 10.9%$140 million
Toilet paper and tissuesRussia51.6%China · 27.6%$110 million
Soft drinksRussia52%Georgia · 7.5%$110 million
Passenger rail coachesRussia96.9%over 75%Uzbekistan · 3.1%$108 million

and 202 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Russia

Kazakhstan is Russia’s 4th-largest customer, with 4.8% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.