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Who does Iran rely on?

The largest supplier of Iran in 2024 is China, with 39.6% of what Iran buys. Its share was 23.5% in 2019 and 3.3% in 1995. 510 of the 663 products Iran buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Iran buys of that product; in 285, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 63.3% of what Iran buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: China
39.6%
Concentration (HHI)
2,018
Products with a supplier above 50%
510
Products with a supplier above 75%
285

Concentration index (HHI): 2,018 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 5 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 3.3% to 39.6% of what Iran buys

Share (%)

  • China 39.6%
  • Turkey 13.7%
  • Brazil 13.3%
  • Germany 5.7%
  • India 5.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995Germany16.6%
1996Germany12.6%
1997Germany10.9%
1998Germany9.8%
1999Germany9.5%
2000South Korea9.6%
2001Germany8.9%
2002Germany10.8%
2003Germany9.9%
2004United Arab Emirates13.3%
2005United Arab Emirates16.6%
2006Germany13.2%
2007China14.7%
2008China14.2%
2009China17.5%
2010United Arab Emirates21.4%
2011United Arab Emirates23.3%
2012United Arab Emirates23.3%
2013United Arab Emirates25.1%
2014China23.5%
2015China24.4%
2016China23%
2017China22.9%
2018China21.7%
2019China23.5%
2020United Arab Emirates24.4%
2021United Arab Emirates29.9%
2022United Arab Emirates26.7%
2023China34%
2024China39.6%

Its suppliers

  1. China$8.9 billion · 39.6%
  2. Turkey$3.1 billion · 13.7%
  3. Brazil$3 billion · 13.3%
  4. Germany$1.3 billion · 5.7%
  5. India$1.3 billion · 5.5%
  6. Italy$553 million · 2.5%
  7. Malaysia$534 million · 2.4%
  8. Netherlands$460 million · 2%
  9. France$277 million · 1.2%
  10. Canada$274 million · 1.2%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 663 products Iran buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Soybean meal and pelletsBrazil71.7%Turkey · 15.5%$1.2 billion
SoybeansBrazil75.4%over 75%Canada · 24.5%$1.1 billion
CornBrazil85.9%over 75%Romania · 11.2%$1.1 billion
Auto partsChina86.7%over 75%Turkey · 8.8%$753 million
RiceIndia99.6%over 75%Thailand · 0.36%$701 million
Vehicle bodies and cabsChina100%over 75%France · 0.02%$618 million
GoldChina97.7%over 75%Turkey · 2.2%$497 million
Cane and beet sugarBrazil99.2%over 75%India · 0.74%$422 million
Palm oilMalaysia99.7%over 75%Indonesia · 0.24%$366 million
Air pumps, compressors and fansChina63%Germany · 15.4%$346 million
Synthetic filament fabricChina92.1%over 75%Turkey · 5.3%$331 million
Spark-ignition enginesChina99.3%over 75%Thailand · 0.41%$215 million
MotorcyclesChina84%over 75%Indonesia · 13%$197 million
Electric motors and generatorsChina68.5%Germany · 10.4%$190 million
Lamb and goat meatAustralia81.5%over 75%South Africa · 6.6%$190 million
Liquid pumpsChina67.6%Turkey · 15.2%$186 million
Valves and tapsChina51.7%Turkey · 15.1%$168 million
Sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oilTurkey96.4%over 75%Kazakhstan · 3.6%$138 million
Sunflower seedsChina97.4%over 75%Turkey · 2.6%$135 million
CarsChina78.7%over 75%Turkey · 8.8%$125 million
Engine partsChina64.2%Turkey · 22.6%$125 million
Water heaters and industrial dryersChina59.5%Italy · 15.8%$125 million
Cables and wireChina83.3%over 75%Turkey · 7.6%$121 million
New tiresChina92.9%over 75%Turkey · 2.7%$117 million
BananasIndia52.3%Philippines · 46.2%$117 million

and 485 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: China
33.4%
Concentration (HHI)
1,677

Concentration index (HHI): 1,677 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 6 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

China went from 1.4% to 33.4% of what Iran sells

Share (%)

  • China 33.4%
  • Turkey 18.5%
  • Pakistan 9%
  • India 8%
  • Azerbaijan 4.8%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995Japan17.5%
1996Japan17.3%
1997Japan19%
1998Japan17.9%
1999Japan17.3%
2000Japan18.3%
2001Japan19.1%
2002Japan20.8%
2003Japan23.1%
2004Japan20.4%
2005Japan19.7%
2006Japan14.9%
2007China18.1%
2008China19.5%
2009China21.3%
2010China19.6%
2011China24.2%
2012China32.3%
2013China36%
2014China39.7%
2015China35.2%
2016China24.9%
2017China23%
2018China24.3%
2019China32%
2020China24.8%
2021China22.4%
2022China24.2%
2023China34.3%
2024China33.4%

188 of the 337 products Iran sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Iran sells of that product; in 100, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 53.7% of what Iran sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
PolyethyleneChina71.3%Turkey · 15.5%$1.9 billion
Iron oreChina100%over 75%Armenia · 0.01%$1.1 billion
AlcoholsChina55.5%India · 43.1%$1.1 billion
Natural gas and LPGPakistan89.8%over 75%Armenia · 10.2%$765 million
Unwrought aluminumTurkey68.6%China · 29.7%$616 million
Unwrought zincTurkey73.3%China · 25.6%$336 million
Refined copperTurkey76.2%over 75%China · 23.6%$293 million
Refined petroleumPakistan69.5%Armenia · 17.4%$175 million
Copper wireTurkey92.8%over 75%Armenia · 4.6%$170 million
CementKuwait66.2%Armenia · 14.7%$154 million
Live sheep and goatsKuwait52.3%Qatar · 44.2%$153 million
Apples and pearsIndia73%Uzbekistan · 12.2%$130 million
FerroalloysTurkey59.4%Bulgaria · 10.3%$125 million
Butter and milk fatsAzerbaijan69.7%Kazakhstan · 9%$100 million
Frozen fishChina94.8%over 75%Thailand · 2.6%$94 million

and 173 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
52Mozambique2,042
53Myanmar2,038
54Iran2,018
55Belarus2,008
56Haiti2,007
57Solomon Islands2,000

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.