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Who does Belarus rely on?

The largest supplier of Belarus in 2024 is China, with 39.4% of what Belarus buys. Its share was 9.3% in 2019 and 0.51% in 1995. 384 of the 664 products Belarus buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Belarus buys of that product; in 190, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 39% of what Belarus buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: China
39.4%
Concentration (HHI)
2,008
Products with a supplier above 50%
384
Products with a supplier above 75%
190

Concentration index (HHI): 2,008 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 5 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 0.51% to 39.4% of what Belarus buys

Share (%)

  • China 39.4%
  • Poland 14.3%
  • Turkey 9.8%
  • Germany 9.5%
  • Lithuania 6.9%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995Germany31%
1996Ukraine24.8%
1997Russia38%
1998Russia53%
1999Russia54.5%
2000Russia64.4%
2001Russia63.9%
2002Russia64.2%
2003Russia64.7%
2004Russia67.3%
2005Russia59.8%
2006Russia58%
2007Russia59.6%
2008Russia59.4%
2009Russia58.3%
2010Russia52%
2011Russia56.2%
2012Russia58%
2013Russia52.1%
2014Russia53.5%
2015Russia53.8%
2016Russia53.3%
2017Russia56.1%
2018Russia57.8%
2019Russia55.1%
2020Russia48.2%
2021Russia55.2%
2022China25.7%
2023China32.2%
2024China39.4%

Its suppliers

  1. China$6.5 billion · 39.4%
  2. Poland$2.4 billion · 14.3%
  3. Turkey$1.6 billion · 9.8%
  4. Germany$1.6 billion · 9.5%
  5. Lithuania$1.1 billion · 6.9%
  6. Italy$395 million · 2.4%
  7. Estonia$186 million · 1.1%
  8. Netherlands$185 million · 1.1%
  9. Czechia$182 million · 1.1%
  10. France$161 million · 0.97%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 664 products Belarus buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
CarsChina53.6%Germany · 20.5%$3.5 billion
Monitors and projectorsChina72.1%Poland · 18.5%$438 million
Other knitted fabricTurkey84%over 75%China · 6.4%$311 million
Diesel enginesChina98.3%over 75%Turkey · 1.6%$163 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentChina52.5%Armenia · 34.6%$129 million
Electric heaters and hair dryersChina59.1%Poland · 29.3%$115 million
Other industrial machinesChina66.3%Turkey · 15.3%$104 million
Washing machinesChina82.4%over 75%Poland · 10.2%$103 million
ComputersChina81%over 75%Malaysia · 8.8%$99 million
Valves and tapsChina55.4%Turkey · 42.3%$98 million
MotorcyclesChina72.3%Germany · 9.5%$98 million
Computer and office machine partsChina79.4%over 75%Czechia · 7%$85 million
Synthetic filament fabricTurkey65%China · 27.4%$85 million
Air pumps, compressors and fansChina57.7%Poland · 11.6%$78 million
Other iron or steel articlesChina50.6%Czechia · 12%$70 million
Centrifuges and filtersChina52%Turkey · 37.3%$70 million
Lamps and light fittingsChina82.4%over 75%Germany · 4.5%$65 million
Parts for broadcast equipmentChina98.9%over 75%Hong Kong · 0.63%$64 million
Leather footwearChina72.5%Turkey · 8.1%$60 million
Mounted lenses and objectivesChina99.2%over 75%Turkey · 0.4%$56 million
Liquid pumpsChina65.4%Turkey · 30.4%$56 million
Low-voltage switches and connectorsChina56.4%Turkey · 30.3%$53 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsChina87.9%over 75%Turkey · 9.7%$52 million
Plastic and rubber processing machinesChina69.1%Turkey · 13.4%$51 million
Engine partsTurkey70.5%China · 27.2%$51 million

and 359 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: China
28.2%
Concentration (HHI)
1,175

Concentration index (HHI): 1,175 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 9 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

China went from 1.6% to 28.2% of what Belarus sells

Share (%)

  • China 28.2%
  • Kazakhstan 11.6%
  • Uzbekistan 8.1%
  • Poland 8%
  • Azerbaijan 7.1%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995Germany26.1%
1996Ukraine22.3%
1997Ukraine19.1%
1998Russia63.6%
1999Russia54.2%
2000Russia51.4%
2001Russia52.9%
2002Russia48.4%
2003Russia46.2%
2004Russia44.5%
2005Russia34%
2006Russia33.4%
2007Russia35%
2008Russia31.1%
2009Russia29.4%
2010Russia37.6%
2011Russia31.6%
2012Russia33.7%
2013Russia44.6%
2014Russia41.4%
2015Russia38.8%
2016Russia46.4%
2017Russia43.9%
2018Russia37.9%
2019Russia41.8%
2020Russia45.6%
2021Russia45.1%
2022China16%
2023China33%
2024China28.2%

158 of the 295 products Belarus sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Belarus sells of that product; in 76, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 36% of what Belarus sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Potash fertilizersChina79%over 75%Indonesia · 6.3%$1.1 billion
Poultry meatChina89.3%over 75%Azerbaijan · 3.4%$222 million
Fresh beefUzbekistan82.3%over 75%Kazakhstan · 11.8%$149 million
Frozen beefChina71.7%Kazakhstan · 17.1%$100 million
CheeseKazakhstan66.5%Uzbekistan · 9.5%$89 million
WheyChina53.2%Philippines · 12.7%$75 million
Nitrogen fertilizersPoland75.7%over 75%Czechia · 10.1%$71 million
Chemical wood pulpChina51.7%Serbia · 27.9%$68 million
Passenger rail coachesAzerbaijan100%over 75%—$46 million
Air pumps, compressors and fansTurkey76%over 75%Lithuania · 5.7%$46 million
Polyurethane and other resinsPoland64.9%Latvia · 17.8%$42 million
SausagesKazakhstan90%over 75%Azerbaijan · 4.1%$41 million
Self-propelled trains and tramsAzerbaijan100%over 75%France · 0%$38 million
DiamondsHong Kong98.7%over 75%Armenia · 1.3%$37 million
Saws and saw bladesNetherlands56%Poland · 10.4%$36 million

and 143 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
53Myanmar2,038
54Iran2,018
55Belarus2,008
56Haiti2,007
57Solomon Islands2,000
58Dominican Republic1,989

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.