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Who does Botswana rely on?

The largest supplier of Botswana in 2024 is South Africa, with 67% of what Botswana buys. Its share was 55.3% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. 377 of the 388 products Botswana buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Botswana buys of that product; in 300, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 73.3% of what Botswana buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: South Africa
67%
Concentration (HHI)
4,754
Products with a supplier above 50%
377
Products with a supplier above 75%
300

Concentration index (HHI): 4,754 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 2 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

South Africa went from 0% to 67% of what Botswana buys

Share (%)

  • South Africa 67%
  • Namibia 15.1%
  • China 3.7%
  • Canada 3%
  • India 2.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995——
1996——
1997——
1998——
1999——
2000South Africa70.8%
2001South Africa75.6%
2002South Africa79.8%
2003South Africa86%
2004South Africa81.7%
2005South Africa82.2%
2006South Africa82.7%
2007South Africa80.7%
2008South Africa73.3%
2009South Africa70%
2010South Africa48.5%
2011South Africa67.9%
2012South Africa51.6%
2013South Africa57.3%
2014South Africa65.4%
2015South Africa64.6%
2016South Africa63.6%
2017South Africa65.9%
2018South Africa61.2%
2019South Africa55.3%
2020South Africa57.5%
2021South Africa58.9%
2022South Africa63%
2023South Africa64.9%
2024South Africa67%

Its suppliers

  1. South Africa$4.3 billion · 67%
  2. Namibia$973 million · 15.1%
  3. China$239 million · 3.7%
  4. Canada$192 million · 3%
  5. India$159 million · 2.5%
  6. Zambia$128 million · 2%
  7. United States$70 million · 1.1%
  8. Germany$68 million · 1.1%
  9. Belgium$43 million · 0.66%
  10. Zimbabwe$39 million · 0.61%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 388 products Botswana buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
DiamondsNamibia51.3%South Africa · 15.1%$1.4 billion
Refined petroleumSouth Africa75.2%over 75%Namibia · 24.7%$885 million
ElectricitySouth Africa52.8%Zambia · 39.6%$194 million
TrucksSouth Africa95.1%over 75%Japan · 2.4%$133 million
Medicines in measured doses or retail packsSouth Africa58.6%India · 24.3%$91 million
CornSouth Africa98.2%over 75%Zambia · 1.8%$80 million
Cables and wireSouth Africa66%Germany · 25.5%$78 million
CarsSouth Africa75.8%over 75%Namibia · 10.2%$76 million
Airplanes and helicoptersSouth Africa88.2%over 75%Switzerland · 9%$68 million
CementSouth Africa81.5%over 75%Namibia · 18.6%$64 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentSouth Africa57%China · 19.7%$60 million
Auto partsSouth Africa88.5%over 75%China · 8.2%$59 million
Parts for cranes and excavatorsSouth Africa89.5%over 75%China · 3.2%$54 million
Detergents and surfactantsSouth Africa99.5%over 75%China · 0.2%$51 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsSouth Africa73.8%China · 11.3%$47 million
TractorsSouth Africa80.2%over 75%India · 7.2%$47 million
RiceSouth Africa98.7%over 75%India · 1%$47 million
Cane and beet sugarSouth Africa71.7%Zimbabwe · 24.7%$46 million
WheatSouth Africa99.9%over 75%Zimbabwe · 0.07%$42 million
Fruit and vegetable juicesSouth Africa96.1%over 75%Zimbabwe · 3.4%$39 million
Cider and other fermented drinksSouth Africa100%over 75%Germany · 0.01%$38 million
Sauces and condimentsSouth Africa99.3%over 75%Namibia · 0.46%$38 million
Steel structuresSouth Africa86.9%over 75%China · 8.6%$37 million
Toilet paper and tissuesSouth Africa98.2%over 75%China · 0.88%$37 million
Makeup and skin careSouth Africa98.9%over 75%Tanzania · 0.61%$36 million

and 352 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: India
28.4%
Concentration (HHI)
1,700

Concentration index (HHI): 1,700 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 6 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

India went from 0% to 28.4% of what Botswana sells

Share (%)

  • India 28.4%
  • China 18.4%
  • Belgium 17.4%
  • South Africa 11.7%
  • United States 9.9%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995——
1996——
1997——
1998——
1999——
2000United Kingdom72.8%
2001United Kingdom83.2%
2002United Kingdom85.2%
2003United Kingdom65.3%
2004United Kingdom64.7%
2005United Kingdom60.1%
2006United Kingdom53.7%
2007United Kingdom39.7%
2008South Africa27%
2009Nigeria20.6%
2010United Kingdom27%
2011United Kingdom62.9%
2012United Kingdom57.5%
2013United Kingdom48.1%
2014Belgium30.7%
2015Belgium27.3%
2016Belgium25.2%
2017India22.3%
2018Belgium20.7%
2019United Arab Emirates23.2%
2020Belgium23.8%
2021United Arab Emirates27.3%
2022United Arab Emirates30.7%
2023United Arab Emirates27.6%
2024India28.4%

41 of the 52 products Botswana sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Botswana sells of that product; in 24, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 28.4% of what Botswana sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Copper oreChina91.9%over 75%Taiwan · 4.9%$820 million
Cables and wireSouth Africa95.8%over 75%Namibia · 3.9%$150 million
CarbonatesSouth Africa99.2%over 75%Zambia · 0.5%$81 million
Live cattleSouth Africa99.9%over 75%Zimbabwe · 0.07%$40 million
CoalSouth Africa89.3%over 75%Namibia · 10.3%$35 million
Plastic pipes and hosesSouth Africa67.1%Namibia · 16.2%$23 million
Copper scrapChina52%South Africa · 36.1%$16 million
Bed, table and kitchen linenSouth Africa97.1%over 75%Zambia · 1%$15 million
Airplanes and helicoptersSouth Africa99.8%over 75%Namibia · 0.2%$14 million
Ferrous scrapIndia75.1%over 75%South Africa · 24.9%$12 million
Synthetic gemstonesIndia97%over 75%Canada · 1.4%$11 million
BatteriesZimbabwe71.4%South Africa · 10%$8 million
Cement and concrete articlesZimbabwe69.4%South Africa · 28%$7 million
Iron or steel pipe fittingsLesotho69.9%Namibia · 24.8%$7 million
Other iron or steel articlesSouth Africa95.8%over 75%Namibia · 3.1%$6 million

and 26 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
9Turks and Caicos Islands4,919
10Greenland4,754
11Botswana4,754
12Bermuda4,519
13Laos4,510
14British Indian Ocean Territory4,445

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.