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Who does Kenya rely on?

The largest supplier of Kenya in 2024 is China, with 25.1% of what Kenya buys. Its share was 21.2% in 2019 and 4% in 1995. 389 of the 692 products Kenya buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Kenya buys of that product; in 137, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 45.8% of what Kenya buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: China
25.1%
Concentration (HHI)
962
Products with a supplier above 50%
389
Products with a supplier above 75%
137

Concentration index (HHI): 962 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 10 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 4% to 25.1% of what Kenya buys

Share (%)

  • China 25.1%
  • United Arab Emirates 11.3%
  • India 9.3%
  • United States 5.2%
  • Malaysia 4.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995United Kingdom13.7%
1996United Kingdom14.8%
1997United Kingdom10.7%
1998United Kingdom11.3%
1999United Kingdom10.6%
2000United Arab Emirates11.8%
2001United States12.4%
2002United Arab Emirates9.1%
2003United Arab Emirates9.8%
2004South Africa12%
2005United Arab Emirates12.7%
2006United Arab Emirates13%
2007United Arab Emirates14.2%
2008United Arab Emirates13.5%
2009India10.2%
2010China11.8%
2011China18.6%
2012India23.2%
2013India17.6%
2014China24.8%
2015China22.2%
2016China24.2%
2017China23.4%
2018China22.3%
2019China21.2%
2020China22.5%
2021China21.4%
2022China20%
2023China21.3%
2024China25.1%

Its suppliers

  1. China$5.6 billion · 25.1%
  2. United Arab Emirates$2.5 billion · 11.3%
  3. India$2.1 billion · 9.3%
  4. United States$1.1 billion · 5.2%
  5. Malaysia$1 billion · 4.5%
  6. Japan$800 million · 3.6%
  7. Russia$590 million · 2.7%
  8. South Africa$568 million · 2.6%
  9. Oman$532 million · 2.4%
  10. Kuwait$485 million · 2.2%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 692 products Kenya buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumUnited Arab Emirates52.8%Oman · 12.3%$4.1 billion
Palm oilMalaysia89.4%over 75%Indonesia · 10.5%$870 million
WheatRussia80.6%over 75%Argentina · 8.6%$628 million
Medicines in measured doses or retail packsIndia53.7%Germany · 7.3%$546 million
CarsJapan73.5%South Africa · 6.9%$472 million
Hot-rolled flat steelJapan52.2%China · 43.8%$410 million
Natural gas and LPGUnited States74.7%Algeria · 11.2%$320 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentChina56.7%United States · 12.2%$236 million
New tiresChina73.9%India · 8.1%$216 million
Synthetic filament fabricChina80.2%over 75%Hong Kong · 5.7%$206 million
Armored vehiclesUnited States72.1%South Africa · 26%$204 million
Used clothingChina54.4%United States · 14.3%$203 million
Rubber and plastic footwearChina97%over 75%India · 1.4%$202 million
Other knitted fabricChina51.7%Taiwan · 18.5%$192 million
CoalSouth Africa76.7%over 75%Tanzania · 23.3%$167 million
Auto partsChina60.4%Japan · 13.9%$164 million
TractorsChina54%India · 13.7%$139 million
Railway freight carsChina100%over 75%India · 0.01%$133 million
Fragrance mixturesEswatini63.9%India · 10.8%$130 million
Transformers and power suppliesChina60.9%India · 21.9%$130 million
ComputersChina57%Poland · 9.2%$118 million
ElectricityEthiopia79.9%over 75%Uganda · 20%$107 million
Polyethers, polyesters and epoxy resinsChina76.2%over 75%India · 5.4%$107 million
MotorcyclesChina74.8%India · 20.1%$97 million
CornTanzania55.3%Uganda · 24.9%$96 million

and 364 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: Uganda
9.8%
Concentration (HHI)
485

Concentration index (HHI): 485 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 21 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

The United Arab Emirates went from 0% to 8.6% of what Kenya sells

Share (%)

  • Uganda 9.8%
  • United States 9.5%
  • United Arab Emirates 8.6%
  • Netherlands 7.3%
  • Pakistan 6.3%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995United Kingdom15.5%
1996United Kingdom16.4%
1997United Kingdom13.7%
1998United Kingdom15.4%
1999United Kingdom14.1%
2000Uganda15.5%
2001Uganda14.4%
2002Uganda15%
2003Uganda12.9%
2004Uganda13.2%
2005Uganda14%
2006Uganda10.7%
2007Uganda10.5%
2008Uganda9.3%
2009Uganda11%
2010Uganda9.9%
2011Uganda12.5%
2012Uganda10.5%
2013Zambia9.7%
2014Zambia12.1%
2015United States8.9%
2016United States8.8%
2017United States9%
2018United States9%
2019Uganda12.1%
2020Uganda12.8%
2021Uganda11.2%
2022United States9.9%
2023Uganda10.1%
2024Uganda9.8%

150 of the 344 products Kenya sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Kenya sells of that product; in 65, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 21.2% of what Kenya sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumUnited Arab Emirates51%United States · 14.4%$820 million
Men's suits and trousersUnited States96.6%over 75%Canada · 1.2%$149 million
Lamb and goat meatUnited Arab Emirates60.2%Bahrain · 13%$135 million
CementUganda69.7%South Sudan · 14.1%$134 million
Coated flat steelUganda50.7%Tanzania · 22.7%$122 million
Dried legumes (beans, lentils, peas)India68.2%Pakistan · 9%$106 million
Sweaters and pulloversUnited States94.1%over 75%Canada · 2.3%$105 million
Other fresh vegetablesUnited Kingdom64.5%Germany · 7.9%$68 million
Women's suits and dressesUnited States91.7%over 75%Mexico · 2.3%$61 million
Canned vegetablesFrance73.2%Germany · 14.3%$40 million
Men's knitted suits and trousersUnited States90.7%over 75%Canada · 3.9%$37 million
Men's knitted shirtsUnited States90.5%over 75%Canada · 3.8%$36 million
T-shirtsUnited States68.8%France · 6.1%$35 million
Men's shirtsUnited States93.8%over 75%Canada · 3.7%$33 million
Niobium, tantalum, vanadium and zirconium oreChina61.2%Spain · 37.1%$31 million

and 135 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
140Oman995
141Panama983
142Kenya962
143Taiwan960
144Dominica958
145Malaysia927

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.