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How dependent is Kenya on China?

In 2024, China sold $5.6 billion to Kenya, 25.1% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 21.2% in 2019 and 4% in 1995. In 218 products it sells more than 50% of what Kenya buys of them (in 79, more than 75%); what Kenya buys from China in those products (dominated value) adds up to $4 billion, 18% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
25.1%
Value imported
$5.6billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
218
Products where it sells over 75%
79
Dominated value
$4billion
Share of total imports
18%

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 4% to 25.1% of what Kenya buys

Share (%)

  • China 25.1%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
19951044%9
1996923.9%10
19971112.9%11
19981032.7%10
1999872.7%11
20001303.8%8
20011192.6%12
20021153.1%12
20031353.3%11
20043479.2%3
20054015.9%5
20064615.6%4
20077457.5%3
20081,0958.7%3
20091,0449.2%3
20101,55611.8%1
20112,36918.6%1
20122,78917.1%2
20132,43713.7%2
20144,93124.8%1
20154,00322.2%1
20163,79724.2%1
20174,28023.4%1
20184,32022.3%1
20193,95621.2%1
20203,79922.5%1
20214,41721.4%1
20224,53920%1
20234,40221.3%1
20245,57325.1%1

Products where China sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Rubber and plastic footwearChina97%over 75%India · 1.4%$196 million
Synthetic filament fabricChina80.2%over 75%Hong Kong · 5.7%$165 million
New tiresChina73.9%India · 8.1%$160 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentChina56.7%United States · 12.2%$134 million
Railway freight carsChina100%over 75%India · 0.01%$133 million
Used clothingChina54.4%United States · 14.3%$110 million
Other knitted fabricChina51.7%Taiwan · 18.5%$99 million
Auto partsChina60.4%Japan · 13.9%$99 million
Women's suits and dressesChina90.1%over 75%Turkey · 3.7%$81 million
Polyethers, polyesters and epoxy resinsChina76.2%over 75%India · 5.4%$81 million
Transformers and power suppliesChina60.9%India · 21.9%$79 million
CranesChina92.5%over 75%India · 2.9%$77 million
TractorsChina54%India · 13.7%$75 million
Steel structuresChina80.8%over 75%India · 7.6%$74 million
Printed circuit boardsChina98.3%over 75%Hong Kong · 0.84%$74 million
MotorcyclesChina74.8%India · 20.1%$73 million
Lamps and light fittingsChina89%over 75%France · 2.6%$68 million
ComputersChina57%Poland · 9.2%$67 million
Diesel and other locomotivesChina100%over 75%—$56 million
Flashlights and portable lampsChina99.5%over 75%Canada · 0.07%$53 million
Padlocks, locks and keysChina95.9%over 75%India · 1.1%$46 million
Coated flat steelChina65.1%Egypt · 11.4%$46 million
Other iron or steel articlesChina84%over 75%India · 4.4%$46 million
Sorting and crushing machinesChina71.4%India · 15.9%$46 million
Monitors and projectorsChina59%Egypt · 27.8%$45 million
BatteriesChina63%India · 6.9%$44 million
Diodes, transistors and solar cellsChina93.4%over 75%United Arab Emirates · 1.3%$43 million
Porcelain tablewareChina94.1%over 75%United Arab Emirates · 1.2%$43 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsChina50.1%India · 18%$43 million
Cables and wireChina57.2%Tanzania · 10.4%$41 million

and 188 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from China

Kenya is China’s 74th-largest customer, with 0.16% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.