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Who does Tajikistan rely on?

The largest supplier of Tajikistan in 2024 is China, with 55.5% of what Tajikistan buys. Its share was 21.9% in 2019 and 10.4% in 1995. 348 of the 412 products Tajikistan buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Tajikistan buys of that product; in 245, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 77.7% of what Tajikistan buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: China
55.5%
Concentration (HHI)
3,449
Products with a supplier above 50%
348
Products with a supplier above 75%
245

Concentration index (HHI): 3,449 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 3 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 10.4% to 55.5% of what Tajikistan buys

Share (%)

  • China 55.5%
  • Kazakhstan 15.8%
  • Uzbekistan 6%
  • Turkey 5.9%
  • Switzerland 5.8%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995Germany19.2%
1996Russia50.3%
1997Russia27.2%
1998Russia21.8%
1999Russia25%
2000Ukraine30.1%
2001Russia22.1%
2002Russia20.2%
2003Russia22.1%
2004Russia23.3%
2005Russia23.3%
2006Russia25.9%
2007Russia30%
2008China44.3%
2009China48.2%
2010China45%
2011China51.2%
2012China44.4%
2013China42.6%
2014China47.6%
2015China48%
2016China32.7%
2017Russia27.3%
2018Russia27.6%
2019Russia29.5%
2020Russia24.4%
2021Russia27.2%
2022Russia28.3%
2023China21.4%
2024China55.5%

Its suppliers

  1. China$3.5 billion · 55.5%
  2. Kazakhstan$996 million · 15.8%
  3. Uzbekistan$381 million · 6%
  4. Turkey$373 million · 5.9%
  5. Switzerland$366 million · 5.8%
  6. South Korea$189 million · 3%
  7. United States$55 million · 0.87%
  8. Italy$54 million · 0.86%
  9. Germany$52 million · 0.82%
  10. India$40 million · 0.63%

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 412 products Tajikistan buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
CarsChina57.2%South Korea · 27.4%$472 million
GoldSwitzerland100%over 75%—$353 million
WheatKazakhstan100%over 75%Uzbekistan · 0.03%$254 million
Auto partsChina91.5%over 75%Turkey · 3.3%$226 million
Rubber and plastic footwearChina98.3%over 75%Turkey · 0.89%$146 million
Steel barsKazakhstan94.4%over 75%China · 2.8%$133 million
Natural gas and LPGKazakhstan89.3%over 75%Uzbekistan · 10.7%$130 million
Lamps and light fittingsChina99.1%over 75%Turkey · 0.38%$101 million
TrucksChina76.1%over 75%South Korea · 14.5%$94 million
Synthetic filament fabricChina94.6%over 75%Thailand · 2.7%$82 million
Porcelain tablewareChina99.7%over 75%Turkey · 0.16%$78 million
Parts for cranes and excavatorsChina94.4%over 75%Italy · 3.2%$71 million
Aluminum oxide and hydroxideKazakhstan100%over 75%Germany · 0.03%$68 million
Men's suits and trousersChina93.2%over 75%Turkey · 6%$67 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsChina86.5%over 75%South Korea · 10.9%$67 million
Bags, suitcases and casesChina99.4%over 75%Turkey · 0.2%$66 million
Sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oilKazakhstan90.6%over 75%Uzbekistan · 7.9%$65 million
Other footwearChina99.5%over 75%Turkey · 0.36%$63 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentKazakhstan77.2%over 75%China · 16.1%$63 million
Rayon fabricChina99.7%over 75%Uzbekistan · 0.27%$61 million
Bed, table and kitchen linenChina87.6%over 75%Turkey · 10.7%$58 million
Socks and tightsChina97.6%over 75%Turkey · 2.2%$57 million
Electric heaters and hair dryersChina61.5%Turkey · 19.6%$55 million
Sweaters and pulloversChina91.6%over 75%Turkey · 8%$50 million
Sorting and crushing machinesChina94.4%over 75%Turkey · 2.3%$49 million

and 323 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: China
20.3%
Concentration (HHI)
1,386

Concentration index (HHI): 1,386 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 7 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

Switzerland went from 0.36% to 20.3% of what Tajikistan sells

Share (%)

  • China 20.3%
  • Switzerland 20.3%
  • Turkey 14.6%
  • Kazakhstan 12.9%
  • Uzbekistan 8.6%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995Italy17.6%
1996Russia26.9%
1997Russia34.7%
1998Russia22.1%
1999Russia40.5%
2000Russia56%
2001Russia36.6%
2002Hungary15.7%
2003Hungary14.2%
2004Norway12.4%
2005United States31.2%
2006Norway14.8%
2007Norway17.1%
2008Russia20%
2009Russia24.2%
2010Turkey24.3%
2011Turkey30.5%
2012Turkey30.6%
2013Turkey44.9%
2014Turkey28.8%
2015Turkey24.1%
2016Turkey16.8%
2017Kazakhstan22.5%
2018Kazakhstan21%
2019Turkey21.3%
2020Switzerland47.5%
2021Switzerland26.1%
2022Kazakhstan19.8%
2023Switzerland24.4%
2024China20.3%

36 of the 40 products Tajikistan sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Tajikistan sells of that product; in 25, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 66.5% of what Tajikistan sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
GoldSwitzerland99.8%over 75%Turkey · 0.17%$341 million
Unwrought aluminumTurkey58.9%Italy · 16.3%$227 million
Precious metal oreChina100%over 75%Uzbekistan · 0.05%$211 million
Lead oreKazakhstan70.4%China · 29.6%$118 million
Zinc oreKazakhstan72.4%Uzbekistan · 27.6%$95 million
Raw cottonTurkey59.1%China · 35.9%$53 million
Refined copperChina100%over 75%—$46 million
Pesticides and herbicidesUzbekistan100%over 75%—$27 million
Other oresChina70%India · 30%$27 million
Dried fruit and nut mixesKazakhstan68.5%Turkey · 11.4%$21 million
ElectricityUzbekistan100%over 75%—$19 million
Copper oreKazakhstan64.9%Uzbekistan · 35.1%$17 million
Aluminum bars and profilesUzbekistan88.4%over 75%Kyrgyzstan · 10.7%$15 million
Men's suits and trousersItaly98.2%over 75%Poland · 0.59%$14 million
Soft drinksKazakhstan98.2%over 75%Uzbekistan · 1.6%$13 million

and 21 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
19Liberia3,824
20Northern Mariana Islands3,599
21Tajikistan3,449
22Syria3,387
23Russia3,277
24Mongolia3,184

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.