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How dependent is Tajikistan on Kazakhstan?

In 2024, Kazakhstan sold $996 million to Tajikistan, 15.8% of its imports, ranking 2nd among its suppliers. Its share was 18.4% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. In 42 products it sells more than 50% of what Tajikistan buys of them (in 33, more than 75%); what Tajikistan buys from Kazakhstan in those products (dominated value) adds up to $888 million, 14% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
15.8%
Value imported
$996million
Rank among its suppliers
2nd
Products where it sells over 50%
42
Products where it sells over 75%
33
Dominated value
$888million
Share of total imports
14%

Trend

Trend in shares

Kazakhstan went from 0% to 15.8% of what Tajikistan buys

Share (%)

  • Kazakhstan 15.8%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199500%—
199600%—
199700%—
19984211.9%3
199900%—
200082.6%8
20016119.6%2
20024613.6%3
20037613%2
200413617.3%2
200515114.6%2
200615710.9%3
200727813.8%3
20082607.8%3
20092409.5%3
20102608.5%3
20113579.2%3
201253513.6%3
201349711.3%3
201451910%3
201541811.2%3
201641512.7%3
201746714.9%3
201853615.4%3
201968418.4%3
202071021.1%2
202178117.5%3
202288015.7%3
202387515.7%3
202499615.8%2

Products where Kazakhstan sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
WheatKazakhstan100%over 75%Uzbekistan · 0.03%$254 million
Steel barsKazakhstan94.4%over 75%China · 2.8%$126 million
Natural gas and LPGKazakhstan89.3%over 75%Uzbekistan · 10.7%$116 million
Aluminum oxide and hydroxideKazakhstan100%over 75%Germany · 0.03%$68 million
Sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oilKazakhstan90.6%over 75%Uzbekistan · 7.9%$58 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentKazakhstan77.2%over 75%China · 16.1%$49 million
Soybean meal and pelletsKazakhstan97.6%over 75%Latvia · 1.9%$17 million
Wheat flourKazakhstan99.7%over 75%Uzbekistan · 0.31%$17 million
Soft drinksKazakhstan91%over 75%Georgia · 5.7%$15 million
AsbestosKazakhstan99.7%over 75%China · 0.35%$14 million
CornKazakhstan96%over 75%China · 2.1%$14 million
Other oilseedsKazakhstan90.3%over 75%Turkey · 5.6%$13 million
PastaKazakhstan93.1%over 75%Uzbekistan · 6.1%$13 million
Hot-rolled flat steelKazakhstan58.8%China · 26.8%$12 million
RiceKazakhstan90.6%over 75%India · 4.5%$11 million
Petroleum coke and bitumenKazakhstan56.5%Uzbekistan · 43.5%$10 million
BarleyKazakhstan100%over 75%—$9 million
Meal from other oilseedsKazakhstan90.1%over 75%Uzbekistan · 9.8%$9 million
CyanidesKazakhstan50.5%China · 49.5%$9 million
Cold-rolled flat steelKazakhstan63.1%China · 22%$6 million
Pitch and pitch cokeKazakhstan100%over 75%—$4 million
MargarineKazakhstan50.4%Uzbekistan · 32.9%$4 million
SoybeansKazakhstan100%over 75%—$4 million
Mixed fertilizersKazakhstan84.2%over 75%Uzbekistan · 5.3%$4 million
Soybean oilKazakhstan100%over 75%—$4 million
Live cattleKazakhstan100%over 75%—$3 million
Soups and brothsKazakhstan97.5%over 75%Turkey · 2.2%$3 million
PotatoesKazakhstan83.7%over 75%Netherlands · 14.4%$3 million
Aluminum cans, drums and containersKazakhstan66.7%Pakistan · 19.2%$2 million
Instant coffee and tea extractsKazakhstan90.1%over 75%Turkey · 3.1%$2 million

and 12 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Kazakhstan

Tajikistan is Kazakhstan’s 20th-largest customer, with 1.1% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.