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Who does Timor-Leste rely on?

The largest supplier of Timor-Leste in 2024 is Indonesia, with 37.7% of what Timor-Leste buys. Its share was 31.8% in 2019 and 86.4% in 1995. 143 of the 162 products Timor-Leste buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Timor-Leste buys of that product; in 90, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 49.4% of what Timor-Leste buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: Indonesia
37.7%
Concentration (HHI)
2,223
Products with a supplier above 50%
143
Products with a supplier above 75%
90

Concentration index (HHI): 2,223 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 4 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

Indonesia went from 86.4% to 37.7% of what Timor-Leste buys

Share (%)

  • Indonesia 37.7%
  • China 25.9%
  • Singapore 6.3%
  • Turkey 5.2%
  • Australia 4.2%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995Indonesia86.4%
1996Indonesia88.4%
1997Philippines39.7%
1998Japan57.7%
1999South Korea57.7%
2000Indonesia38%
2001Indonesia67.1%
2002Australia40.8%
2003Australia38.7%
2004Indonesia45.2%
2005Indonesia36.2%
2006Indonesia29.9%
2007Australia22%
2008Indonesia26.2%
2009Indonesia45.7%
2010India58.9%
2011Indonesia38.2%
2012Indonesia37.9%
2013Indonesia36.2%
2014Indonesia35.1%
2015Indonesia41.8%
2016Indonesia38.8%
2017Indonesia31%
2018Indonesia29%
2019Indonesia31.8%
2020Indonesia35.2%
2021Indonesia31.2%
2022Indonesia26.4%
2023Indonesia31.1%
2024Indonesia37.7%

Its suppliers

  1. Indonesia$386 million · 37.7%
  2. China$266 million · 25.9%
  3. Singapore$65 million · 6.3%
  4. Turkey$53 million · 5.2%
  5. Australia$43 million · 4.2%
  6. Taiwan$42 million · 4.1%
  7. India$41 million · 4%
  8. France$22 million · 2.1%
  9. Thailand$19 million · 1.9%
  10. United States$19 million · 1.8%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 162 products Timor-Leste buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
TrucksIndonesia67%China · 18.1%$37 million
MotorcyclesIndonesia97.2%over 75%China · 1.5%$30 million
CementIndonesia98.4%over 75%China · 1.5%$24 million
Palm oilIndonesia99.6%over 75%Malaysia · 0.39%$18 million
PastaIndonesia99.2%over 75%South Korea · 0.39%$17 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsIndonesia57.1%China · 36.6%$17 million
Bread, biscuits and pastriesIndonesia93.9%over 75%Malaysia · 3.8%$15 million
Welded steel pipesChina78.2%over 75%Turkey · 15.9%$14 million
Poultry meatUnited States91.8%over 75%Singapore · 4.5%$13 million
FurnitureChina76.1%over 75%Indonesia · 18.3%$12 million
Cigarettes and cigarsIndonesia96.8%over 75%Taiwan · 1.4%$12 million
Steel barsChina58.7%Indonesia · 41.3%$9 million
Powdered and condensed milkIndonesia97.6%over 75%Malaysia · 1.4%$9 million
Detergents and surfactantsIndonesia82.2%over 75%China · 11.6%$8 million
Steel structuresChina70.8%Australia · 22.1%$8 million
Wheat flourIndonesia99.7%over 75%Turkey · 0.24%$8 million
Hoists, winches and jacksIndonesia95.9%over 75%China · 3.9%$8 million
Auto partsIndonesia51.9%China · 18.3%$8 million
Coated flat steelChina90.4%over 75%Australia · 4.1%$8 million
Electric heaters and hair dryersChina52%Turkey · 35.5%$8 million
Soft drinksIndonesia65.5%South Korea · 32%$7 million
Frozen fishChina96.4%over 75%Portugal · 1.7%$7 million
Other iron or steel articlesIndonesia72.4%China · 25%$7 million
WaterIndonesia99.5%over 75%Portugal · 0.18%$7 million
Toilet paper and tissuesIndonesia87.5%over 75%China · 10.4%$7 million

and 118 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: Thailand
72.3%
Concentration (HHI)
5,322

Concentration index (HHI): 5,322 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 2 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

Thailand went from 0% to 72.3% of what Timor-Leste sells

Share (%)

  • Thailand 72.3%
  • United States 6.8%
  • Indonesia 5.5%
  • Portugal 2.3%
  • Japan 1.8%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995South Africa56%
1996South Africa26.8%
1997South Africa83.5%
1998South Africa33.3%
1999Antigua and Barbuda49.8%
2000Australia61.1%
2001United Kingdom29.4%
2002Bangladesh57.7%
2003United States38.1%
2004Australia29.6%
2005New Zealand34.9%
2006Japan36.9%
2007Japan71.1%
2008Japan82%
2009Japan47.8%
2010Japan61.1%
2011Singapore36.4%
2012Singapore65.5%
2013Iran33.6%
2014South Korea68.4%
2015Singapore87.8%
2016Thailand61.8%
2017Singapore59.2%
2018Singapore47.2%
2019Singapore38.5%
2020Malaysia27.4%
2021China25.7%
2022China28.3%
2023China39.2%
2024Thailand72.3%

1 of the 2 products Timor-Leste sells for more than $1 million has a customer buying more than 50% of what Timor-Leste sells of that product; in 1, more than 75%. In that product, sales to its dominant customer add up to 72.2% of what Timor-Leste sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Crude petroleumThailand100%over 75%—$64 million

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
40Palestine2,244
41Tuvalu2,242
42Timor-Leste2,223
43New Caledonia2,217
44Cayman Islands2,200
45Vietnam2,142

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.