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How dependent is Timor-Leste on Indonesia?

In 2024, Indonesia sold $386 million to Timor-Leste, 37.7% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 31.8% in 2019 and 86.4% in 1995. In 54 products it sells more than 50% of what Timor-Leste buys of them (in 35, more than 75%); what Timor-Leste buys from Indonesia in those products (dominated value) adds up to $291 million, 28.3% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
37.7%
Value imported
$386million
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
54
Products where it sells over 75%
35
Dominated value
$291million
Share of total imports
28.3%

Trend

Trend in shares

Indonesia went from 86.4% to 37.7% of what Timor-Leste buys

Share (%)

  • Indonesia 37.7%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
1995386.4%1
1996388.4%1
199700%—
199800%—
199900%—
20002338%1
20015367.1%1
20023935.3%2
20034335.6%2
20046345.2%1
20055136.2%1
20062829.9%1
200777.9%5
20088626.2%1
200916345.7%1
201017520.1%2
201122038.2%1
201225837.9%1
201323036.2%1
201422635.1%1
201521641.8%1
201622638.8%1
201721531%1
201817929%1
201919931.8%1
202019735.2%1
202122031.2%1
202227926.4%1
202332531.1%1
202438637.7%1

Products where Indonesia sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
MotorcyclesIndonesia97.2%over 75%China · 1.5%$29 million
TrucksIndonesia67%China · 18.1%$25 million
CementIndonesia98.4%over 75%China · 1.5%$24 million
Palm oilIndonesia99.6%over 75%Malaysia · 0.39%$18 million
PastaIndonesia99.2%over 75%South Korea · 0.39%$17 million
Bread, biscuits and pastriesIndonesia93.9%over 75%Malaysia · 3.8%$15 million
Cigarettes and cigarsIndonesia96.8%over 75%Taiwan · 1.4%$12 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsIndonesia57.1%China · 36.6%$10 million
Powdered and condensed milkIndonesia97.6%over 75%Malaysia · 1.4%$8 million
Wheat flourIndonesia99.7%over 75%Turkey · 0.24%$8 million
Hoists, winches and jacksIndonesia95.9%over 75%China · 3.9%$8 million
WaterIndonesia99.5%over 75%Portugal · 0.18%$7 million
Detergents and surfactantsIndonesia82.2%over 75%China · 11.6%$7 million
Toilet paper and tissuesIndonesia87.5%over 75%China · 10.4%$6 million
Sauces and condimentsIndonesia94.1%over 75%Singapore · 4.1%$6 million
Mattresses, pillows and quiltsIndonesia87.1%over 75%China · 10.7%$5 million
Other iron or steel articlesIndonesia72.4%China · 25%$5 million
Soft drinksIndonesia65.5%South Korea · 32%$5 million
Instant coffee and tea extractsIndonesia99.3%over 75%Australia · 0.32%$5 million
Auto partsIndonesia51.9%China · 18.3%$4 million
Medicines in measured doses or retail packsIndonesia73.4%India · 13.2%$4 million
Other food preparationsIndonesia58.9%Australia · 32.8%$4 million
Fresh milk and creamIndonesia82.9%over 75%Australia · 11.5%$4 million
Hair careIndonesia85.4%over 75%Thailand · 5.5%$4 million
Candy and sweetsIndonesia96.9%over 75%Turkey · 2.1%$3 million
SoapIndonesia90.8%over 75%China · 6.8%$3 million
Makeup and skin careIndonesia91.2%over 75%Singapore · 6.8%$3 million
CoffeeIndonesia99.1%over 75%Australia · 0.32%$3 million
Pet and animal feedIndonesia70.9%Malaysia · 22.5%$3 million
Water-based paints and varnishesIndonesia92.8%over 75%Australia · 4.7%$3 million

and 24 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Indonesia

Timor-Leste is Indonesia’s 47th-largest customer, with 0.13% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.