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How much of Russia’s trade passes through the Strait of Gibraltar?

In 2024, an estimated $122.3 billion of Russia’s trade passed through the Strait of Gibraltar, 42.6% of its seaborne trade. That is $97.6 billion of exports and $24.7 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are India, Turkey and China.

Summary

Estimated value
$122.3billion
Of its seaborne trade
42.6%
Exports
$97.6billion
Imports
$24.7billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Russia’s estimated trade through the Strait of Gibraltar fell 34% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Russia 122

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$35.5 billion47.4%
1996$48.1 billion46.9%
1997$48.6 billion47.1%
1998$40.6 billion46.7%
1999$36.9 billion46.3%
2000$44.3 billion46.6%
2001$46 billion46.9%
2002$51 billion47.6%
2003$63.2 billion47.4%
2004$89.3 billion47.8%
2005$120 billion48.1%
2006$148.5 billion48.3%
2007$176 billion48.1%
2008$219.3 billion47.7%
2009$148.7 billion47.4%
2010$187.5 billion47.5%
2011$232.5 billion47.5%
2012$238.2 billion47.7%
2013$229.9 billion47.3%
2014$227.9 billion47.3%
2015$151.8 billion46.6%
2016$139.7 billion46.6%
2017$174 billion46.8%
2018$197.1 billion46.8%
2019$184.8 billion46.5%
2020$142.5 billion45.8%
2021$206.1 billion46%
2022$202.4 billion45.5%
2023$135.7 billion42.2%
2024$122.3 billion42.6%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Russia–India$23 billion · 18.8%
  2. Russia–Turkey$21.4 billion · 17.5%
  3. Russia–China$12.5 billion · 10.2%
  4. Russia–Uzbekistan$6.6 billion · 5.4%
  5. Russia–Brazil$4.3 billion · 3.5%
  6. Russia–Italy$4.1 billion · 3.3%
  7. Russia–Egypt$3.9 billion · 3.2%
  8. Russia–Hungary$3.7 billion · 3.1%
  9. Russia–South Korea$3.3 billion · 2.7%
  10. Russia–Slovakia$3.1 billion · 2.5%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Crude petroleum$21.8 billion · 17.8%
  2. Refined petroleum$20.1 billion · 16.4%
  3. Natural gas and LPG$12.6 billion · 10.3%
  4. Coal$8.2 billion · 6.7%
  5. Wheat$4.2 billion · 3.5%
  6. Semi-finished steel$2.5 billion · 2.1%
  7. Mixed fertilizers$2 billion · 1.6%
  8. Nitrogen fertilizers$1.7 billion · 1.4%
  9. Potash fertilizers$1.6 billion · 1.3%

If it closes

  • Russia–Turkey: +9,355 nautical miles, ≈ 28 days more at 14 knots, via the Øresund, the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, the Suez Canal and the Dardanelles

Estimated sailing detour, without costs, waiting or port capacity.

Reference ports

Saint Petersburg (31%), Murmansk (10%), Novorossiysk (32%) and Vladivostok (27%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints