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How dependent is the United States on Mexico?

In 2024, Mexico sold $491.3 billion to the United States, 15.5% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 14.8% in 2019 and 8.5% in 1995. In 30 products it sells more than 50% of what the United States buys of them (in 7, more than 75%); what the United States buys from Mexico in those products (dominated value) adds up to $102.2 billion, 3.2% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
15.5%
Value imported
$491.3billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
30
Products where it sells over 75%
7
Dominated value
$102.2billion
Share of total imports
3.2%

Trend

Trend in shares

Mexico went from 8.5% to 15.5% of what the United States buys

Share (%)

  • Mexico 15.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199564,4238.5%3
199674,5689.3%3
199788,56910.1%3
199894,35210.3%3
1999109,05310.7%3
2000138,61811.6%3
2001129,92611.7%2
2002134,10711.5%2
2003140,81811.1%3
2004153,78110.4%3
2005172,19010.3%3
2006203,79110.9%3
2007213,17510.8%3
2008216,34710.3%3
2009174,62211.3%3
2010233,38512.2%3
2011262,63811.9%3
2012277,78712.2%3
2013279,89712.5%3
2014298,09212.8%3
2015295,49613.3%2
2016288,65013.4%2
2017323,66313.9%2
2018352,78414.1%2
2019362,53514.8%2
2020330,64414.4%2
2021371,27613.4%2
2022436,60513.6%2
2023464,56115.5%1
2024491,34815.5%1

Products where Mexico sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
TrucksMexico75.4%over 75%Canada · 17%$32.1 billion
Cables and wireMexico52.3%China · 11.8%$16.6 billion
Monitors and projectorsMexico62.7%China · 14.5%$10.5 billion
TractorsMexico63.8%Germany · 11%$9.7 billion
BeerMexico82.4%over 75%Netherlands · 9.3%$6.4 billion
Avocados, mangoes, pineapples and datesMexico69.4%Costa Rica · 14.1%$4.1 billion
Other fresh vegetablesMexico67.3%Canada · 18.8%$3.3 billion
TomatoesMexico85.5%over 75%Canada · 13.3%$3.2 billion
Railway freight carsMexico91.5%over 75%Canada · 8.4%$3.1 billion
TrailersMexico51.3%China · 21.5%$3 billion
Other fresh fruit (berries, kiwi)Mexico50.7%Peru · 28.1%$2.4 billion
Gas, water and electricity metersMexico74.5%Canada · 5.7%$1.4 billion
Speedometers, taximeters and countersMexico63.4%South Korea · 9.2%$1 billion
Cucumbers and gherkinsMexico60.3%Canada · 38.1%$907 million
Steel springsMexico52.3%Canada · 9.7%$747 million
Melons, watermelons and papayasMexico54.7%Guatemala · 30.6%$575 million
Central heating radiatorsMexico62.6%Canada · 14.1%$529 million
Lettuce and chicoryMexico87.6%over 75%Canada · 11.3%$510 million
Other nuts (almonds, walnuts)Mexico65.8%China · 6.8%$502 million
Cabbage, cauliflower and broccoliMexico72%Canada · 22.8%$325 million
Plasterboard and plaster articlesMexico82.8%over 75%Canada · 14.5%$305 million
Toothpaste and oral careMexico51.6%Ireland · 13.6%$242 million
Fresh legumes (peas and beans)Mexico53.4%Guatemala · 38%$217 million
Other cereal floursMexico66.5%Canada · 9.8%$210 million
Cotton linters and other plant productsMexico58.3%India · 10.3%$105 million
Self-propelled trains and tramsMexico90.7%over 75%Netherlands · 3.4%$96 million
Wood charcoalMexico53.4%Paraguay · 11.4%$55 million
Time switches with clock movementMexico61.6%China · 25%$40 million
Tin bars, rods, profiles and wireMexico55.3%Canada · 20%$25 million
Barbed wire of iron or steelMexico66.1%China · 20.7%$11 million

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Mexico

The United States is Mexico’s 1st-largest customer, with 76.2% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.