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How dependent is the United States on Canada?

In 2024, Canada sold $400 billion to the United States, 12.6% of its imports, ranking 3rd among its suppliers. Its share was 12.6% in 2019 and 18.7% in 1995. In 101 products it sells more than 50% of what the United States buys of them (in 54, more than 75%); what the United States buys from Canada in those products (dominated value) adds up to $171.7 billion, 5.4% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
12.6%
Value imported
$400billion
Rank among its suppliers
3rd
Products where it sells over 50%
101
Products where it sells over 75%
54
Dominated value
$171.7billion
Share of total imports
5.4%

Trend

Trend in shares

Canada went from 18.7% to 12.6% of what the United States buys

Share (%)

  • Canada 12.6%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
1995141,61318.7%1
1996152,70919%1
1997164,47418.8%1
1998168,56018.4%1
1999190,12118.6%1
2000219,05418.3%1
2001204,41618.3%1
2002199,95217.1%1
2003213,94116.9%1
2004248,51416.8%1
2005282,33116.8%1
2006295,61815.9%1
2007306,66115.6%2
2008327,87515.6%2
2009218,70614.1%2
2010273,28814.2%2
2011310,82714.1%2
2012318,58614%2
2013327,02514.5%2
2014342,82214.7%2
2015287,52313%3
2016267,46412.4%3
2017285,49912.3%3
2018306,46312.2%3
2019308,69412.6%3
2020259,94611.3%3
2021348,25312.6%3
2022430,44313.5%3
2023410,31213.6%3
2024399,99412.6%3

Products where Canada sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Crude petroleumCanada60.3%Mexico · 7.4%$102.3 billion
Natural gas and LPGCanada86.8%over 75%Nigeria · 5%$8.9 billion
Unwrought aluminumCanada68.7%United Arab Emirates · 10.8%$7.7 billion
Sawn woodCanada71.4%Germany · 7.5%$5.6 billion
Rapeseed and mustard oilCanada98.2%over 75%United Arab Emirates · 0.43%$4.2 billion
PolyethyleneCanada81.7%over 75%Mexico · 4.1%$3.5 billion
Potash fertilizersCanada80.6%over 75%Russia · 12.5%$3.1 billion
ChocolateCanada54.1%Mexico · 14.1%$2.6 billion
Particle board and OSBCanada90%over 75%Latvia · 3.7%$2.3 billion
ElectricityCanada95.4%over 75%Mexico · 4.6%$2.2 billion
Petroleum coke and bitumenCanada82.8%over 75%Colombia · 3.9%$2.2 billion
Copper wireCanada75.2%over 75%Mexico · 5.6%$1.9 billion
Frozen vegetablesCanada73.8%Belgium · 11.7%$1.9 billion
Live cattleCanada57.5%Mexico · 42.5%$1.7 billion
Meal from other oilseedsCanada98%over 75%Turkey · 0.77%$1.3 billion
Ferrous scrapCanada66.3%Mexico · 23.4%$1.3 billion
NewsprintCanada94.3%over 75%Finland · 1.8%$1.3 billion
Unwrought zincCanada64.8%Mexico · 14.5%$1.1 billion
Open-chain hydrocarbonsCanada76.9%over 75%South Africa · 6.1%$1.1 billion
BusesCanada72.3%Turkey · 11.8%$1 billion
PorkCanada61%Mexico · 10%$910 million
Uncoated paperCanada73.9%Australia · 6.8%$798 million
Aluminum scrapCanada57.8%Mexico · 31.5%$772 million
AmmoniaCanada62%Trinidad and Tobago · 32.7%$737 million
WheatCanada90.9%over 75%Poland · 5.2%$702 million
Aluminum wireCanada67.8%Bahrain · 13.2%$637 million
Kraft paper and paperboardCanada65.8%Sweden · 9.1%$612 million
Live plants and cuttingsCanada60.8%China · 8.1%$586 million
Live pigsCanada100%over 75%Poland · 0%$563 million
Plastic rods and profilesCanada62.6%China · 12.4%$493 million

and 71 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Canada

The United States is Canada’s 1st-largest customer, with 73.2% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.