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Who does Rwanda rely on?

The largest supplier of Rwanda in 2024 is China, with 24.2% of what Rwanda buys. Its share was 19.2% in 2019 and 0.71% in 1995. 178 of the 270 products Rwanda buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Rwanda buys of that product; in 91, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 43.7% of what Rwanda buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: China
24.2%
Concentration (HHI)
1,137
Products with a supplier above 50%
178
Products with a supplier above 75%
91

Concentration index (HHI): 1,137 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 9 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 0.71% to 24.2% of what Rwanda buys

Share (%)

  • China 24.2%
  • Kenya 15%
  • Uganda 12.8%
  • Tanzania 7.8%
  • India 4.8%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995United States22.7%
1996Belgium13.5%
1997Kenya18.2%
1998Kenya19.2%
1999Kenya18.2%
2000Kenya16.4%
2001Belgium15.9%
2002Kenya11.3%
2003Kenya23.5%
2004Kenya21.7%
2005Kenya19.6%
2006Kenya14.6%
2007Uganda14.2%
2008Uganda14.1%
2009Uganda11.4%
2010Uganda11.5%
2011Uganda11.7%
2012China12.4%
2013China12%
2014China15.5%
2015China15.8%
2016China15.2%
2017China15.9%
2018China17.9%
2019China19.2%
2020China18.9%
2021China18.4%
2022China21%
2023China18.8%
2024China24.2%

Its suppliers

  1. China$508 million · 24.2%
  2. Kenya$315 million · 15%
  3. Uganda$269 million · 12.8%
  4. Tanzania$164 million · 7.8%
  5. India$101 million · 4.8%
  6. South Korea$85 million · 4.1%
  7. Belgium$71 million · 3.4%
  8. Germany$70 million · 3.4%
  9. Hong Kong$63 million · 3%
  10. Egypt$49 million · 2.3%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 270 products Rwanda buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumSouth Korea75.9%over 75%Kenya · 18.6%$87 million
Frozen fishChina97.5%over 75%Japan · 1.9%$85 million
Cane and beet sugarUganda83.5%over 75%Egypt · 6.8%$71 million
CementTanzania53.4%Kenya · 34.7%$34 million
TrucksChina63.1%South Africa · 8.4%$33 million
Ceramic tilesUganda64.7%Tanzania · 22.7%$33 million
RiceTanzania95.7%over 75%India · 2.5%$31 million
CornUganda80.6%over 75%Tanzania · 17.5%$27 million
Soft drinksTanzania71.4%Uganda · 15.5%$26 million
Pesticides and herbicidesSouth Africa69%India · 14.6%$24 million
TractorsChina70.4%Germany · 9.3%$20 million
Other cereal floursUganda99.7%over 75%Kenya · 0.18%$20 million
MotorcyclesIndia53.4%China · 26.5%$18 million
New tiresChina71%Uganda · 13.4%$18 million
BusesChina65.6%Germany · 24.8%$17 million
Plastic packagingKenya53.2%Uganda · 24.7%$17 million
Parts for broadcast equipmentSpain86.3%over 75%China · 11.6%$16 million
Special-purpose vehiclesMalawi64.5%China · 15.3%$15 million
Detergents and surfactantsKenya77.9%over 75%Egypt · 8.9%$15 million
Cassava and other rootsTanzania50.4%Uganda · 49.6%$12 million
Palm oilKenya87.3%over 75%Uganda · 7%$12 million
Pet and animal feedKenya58.2%Belgium · 17.4%$11 million
Synthetic filament fabricChina97.4%over 75%India · 1.1%$11 million
Other hatsChina87.2%over 75%Slovakia · 6.3%$10 million
PlywoodUganda86.2%over 75%Tanzania · 7.1%$10 million

and 153 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: China
27.5%
Concentration (HHI)
1,121

Concentration index (HHI): 1,121 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 9 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

China went from 0.04% to 27.5% of what Rwanda sells

Share (%)

  • China 27.5%
  • Thailand 8.8%
  • Poland 8.7%
  • United Kingdom 6.6%
  • Pakistan 5.8%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995Netherlands29.5%
1996Germany40.7%
1997Belgium33.5%
1998Belgium31.6%
1999Kenya30.8%
2000Germany21.8%
2001Kenya22.5%
2002Indonesia40.8%
2003Indonesia41.5%
2004Indonesia62.9%
2005Belgium18.5%
2006Kenya16.4%
2007United Kingdom12.5%
2008Kenya25.5%
2009Sudan16.3%
2010Switzerland15.7%
2011Malaysia16.9%
2012Kenya18%
2013Democratic Republic of the Congo24.4%
2014Democratic Republic of the Congo25.8%
2015United Arab Emirates13.7%
2016United Arab Emirates28.8%
2017United Arab Emirates32.5%
2018United Arab Emirates45.5%
2019United Arab Emirates45.6%
2020United Arab Emirates50.2%
2021United Arab Emirates35.1%
2022United Arab Emirates36.2%
2023United Arab Emirates64.9%
2024China27.5%

29 of the 33 products Rwanda sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Rwanda sells of that product; in 19, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 57.8% of what Rwanda sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Niobium, tantalum, vanadium and zirconium oreChina90.9%over 75%Malaysia · 8.4%$118 million
Tin oreThailand64.3%Malaysia · 22.3%$79 million
TeaPakistan55.6%United Kingdom · 34.7%$60 million
Airplanes and helicoptersPoland100%over 75%—$48 million
Tungsten oreChina95.1%over 75%Malaysia · 3.3%$18 million
Malt extract and food mixesKenya98.1%over 75%Tanzania · 1.6%$14 million
Other oresChina99.9%over 75%Ireland · 0.07%$10 million
Unwrought leadIndia100%over 75%—$9 million
Plant extracts, pectin and thickenersUnited States55.1%Italy · 44.7%$7 million
Fresh legumes (peas and beans)United Kingdom55.6%France · 33.2%$7 million
Cut flowersNetherlands77.2%over 75%United Kingdom · 21.8%$7 million
Other fresh vegetablesUnited Kingdom67.8%Germany · 10.2%$4 million
Acrylic acid and other unsaturated acidsChina100%over 75%—$4 million
Essential oilsIndia92.5%over 75%China · 5.2%$4 million
BatteriesKenya100%over 75%Austria · 0.01%$3 million

and 14 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
119Cuba1,155
120Comoros1,151
121Rwanda1,137
122Argentina1,125
123Pakistan1,110
124Samoa1,102

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.