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Who does Moldova rely on?

The largest supplier of Moldova in 2024 is Romania, with 17.6% of what Moldova buys. Its share was 15.7% in 2019 and 7% in 1995. 198 of the 583 products Moldova buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Moldova buys of that product; in 68, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 25.8% of what Moldova buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: Romania
17.6%
Concentration (HHI)
817
Products with a supplier above 50%
198
Products with a supplier above 75%
68

Concentration index (HHI): 817 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 12 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 0.09% to 13.3% of what Moldova buys

Share (%)

  • Romania 17.6%
  • China 13.3%
  • Ukraine 12.1%
  • Turkey 7.3%
  • Germany 7.2%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995Russia28.8%
1996Russia27.4%
1997Russia27.8%
1998Russia20.9%
1999Russia21.9%
2000Ukraine17%
2001Ukraine21.3%
2002Ukraine21.6%
2003Ukraine26.8%
2004Ukraine29%
2005Ukraine23.3%
2006Ukraine19.7%
2007Ukraine19%
2008Ukraine18%
2009Ukraine16.5%
2010Ukraine15.3%
2011Ukraine14.8%
2012Ukraine13.5%
2013Ukraine13.6%
2014Romania15%
2015Romania14.4%
2016Romania13.7%
2017Romania15.4%
2018Romania16.4%
2019Romania15.7%
2020Romania13.2%
2021Russia13.9%
2022Romania18.5%
2023Romania15.7%
2024Romania17.6%

Its suppliers

  1. Romania$1.6 billion · 17.6%
  2. China$1.2 billion · 13.3%
  3. Ukraine$1.1 billion · 12.1%
  4. Turkey$682 million · 7.3%
  5. Germany$671 million · 7.2%
  6. Italy$468 million · 5%
  7. Poland$366 million · 3.9%
  8. France$215 million · 2.3%
  9. Russia$208 million · 2.2%
  10. Hungary$187 million · 2%

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 583 products Moldova buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumRomania76%over 75%Bulgaria · 6.4%$891 million
Natural gas and LPGUkraine50.2%Romania · 38.3%$447 million
Cameras and broadcast equipmentChina70.6%Vietnam · 16.8%$165 million
ElectricityRomania87.3%over 75%Ukraine · 12.1%$127 million
Ferrous scrapRomania99.8%over 75%United States · 0.14%$103 million
ComputersChina75.4%over 75%Poland · 4.1%$78 million
Diodes, transistors and solar cellsChina81.6%over 75%Netherlands · 6.1%$58 million
Sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oilUkraine97.9%over 75%Russia · 1.2%$50 million
Transformers and power suppliesChina53.4%India · 15.4%$49 million
Mixed fertilizersRussia54%Spain · 9.6%$46 million
Monitors and projectorsChina53.6%Slovakia · 15.2%$45 million
Nitrogen fertilizersRussia58.3%Romania · 7.5%$45 million
Air conditionersChina71.9%Thailand · 3.5%$44 million
Steel barsUkraine95.5%over 75%Turkey · 3.3%$39 million
Particle board and OSBUkraine65.9%Romania · 25%$38 million
Poultry meatUkraine77.9%over 75%Hungary · 6.8%$38 million
Sawn woodUkraine97.7%over 75%Belgium · 0.51%$38 million
Hot-rolled flat steelUkraine69.6%Turkey · 22.2%$30 million
Lamps and light fittingsChina68.5%Turkey · 8.7%$27 million
Paper boxes and packagingRomania51.2%Ukraine · 19.5%$26 million
TomatoesTurkey66.2%Spain · 10.9%$25 million
Fresh milk and creamUkraine62.4%Romania · 19.3%$25 million
PotatoesBelarus59.5%Romania · 7.8%$24 million
Fiberboard (MDF)Turkey61.3%Poland · 11.1%$24 million
Fiberglass and glass woolChina61.1%Taiwan · 7.2%$22 million

and 173 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: Romania
29.3%
Concentration (HHI)
1,107

Concentration index (HHI): 1,107 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 9 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

Romania went from 12.8% to 29.3% of what Moldova sells

Share (%)

  • Romania 29.3%
  • Ukraine 7.9%
  • Italy 6%
  • Czechia 5.6%
  • Turkey 4.9%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995Russia40.9%
1996Russia52.4%
1997Russia65.9%
1998Russia42.1%
1999Russia32.2%
2000Russia34.9%
2001Russia34.2%
2002Russia30.6%
2003Russia33.4%
2004Russia32.4%
2005Russia35.6%
2006Russia23.6%
2007Russia25.5%
2008Russia20.1%
2009Russia23%
2010Russia24.1%
2011Russia26.2%
2012Russia27.2%
2013Russia22.7%
2014Romania16.8%
2015Romania23.5%
2016Romania24.2%
2017Romania23.4%
2018Romania27.8%
2019Romania25%
2020Romania25.9%
2021Romania23.1%
2022Romania26.7%
2023Romania30.8%
2024Romania29.3%

98 of the 210 products Moldova sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Moldova sells of that product; in 42, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 21.9% of what Moldova sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Steel wire rodRomania74.6%Poland · 11.4%$139 million
Refined petroleumUkraine96.3%over 75%Bulgaria · 1.9%$137 million
Fruit and vegetable juicesPoland51.8%United States · 12.9%$98 million
Apples and pearsRussia60.1%Romania · 19.4%$77 million
ElectricityUkraine69.1%Romania · 30.9%$62 million
Rapeseed (canola)Romania52.7%Bulgaria · 32%$58 million
SpiritsUkraine53.7%Belarus · 19.9%$51 million
Vermouth and flavored wineUnited States98.5%over 75%Kazakhstan · 0.8%$44 million
Transformers and power suppliesRomania52.2%Hungary · 16.6%$43 million
Steel barsRomania78.3%over 75%Poland · 21.5%$38 million
FurnitureRomania82.6%over 75%France · 5%$37 million
Fiberglass and glass woolRomania50.8%Germany · 17%$37 million
BarleyCyprus51%Greece · 20.9%$26 million
Bread, biscuits and pastriesRomania51.3%Germany · 11.5%$24 million
Other made-up textilesRomania52.4%Slovakia · 19.7%$24 million

and 83 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
156Libya822
157Equatorial Guinea820
158Moldova817
159Gambia815
160Uganda810
161Cyprus804

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.