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How dependent is Moldova on Romania?

In 2024, Romania sold $1.6 billion to Moldova, 17.6% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 15.7% in 2019 and 7% in 1995. In 15 products it sells more than 50% of what Moldova buys of them (in 7, more than 75%); what Moldova buys from Romania in those products (dominated value) adds up to $953 million, 10.2% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
17.6%
Value imported
$1.6billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
15
Products where it sells over 75%
7
Dominated value
$953million
Share of total imports
10.2%

Trend

Trend in shares

Romania went from 7% to 17.6% of what Moldova buys

Share (%)

  • Romania 17.6%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
1995687%4
1996755.6%4
19971289.5%4
19981219.8%3
19998911.3%3
200013213.6%3
20011019.1%4
20021058.3%4
20031227%5
20041828.3%3
200527910%3
200636611.7%3
200750311.7%3
200861411%3
20093499.4%3
201042610%3
201161111.7%2
201265212.3%2
201376413.2%2
201485115%1
201559114.4%1
201658513.7%1
201779515.4%1
201898316.4%1
201995615.7%1
202073613.2%1
20211,03113.5%2
20221,75618.5%1
20231,41115.7%1
20241,65017.6%1

Products where Romania sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumRomania76%over 75%Bulgaria · 6.4%$677 million
ElectricityRomania87.3%over 75%Ukraine · 12.1%$111 million
Ferrous scrapRomania99.8%over 75%United States · 0.14%$103 million
Fresh fishRomania63.6%Norway · 13.3%$14 million
Paper boxes and packagingRomania51.2%Ukraine · 19.5%$13 million
Gravel and crushed stoneRomania65.4%Ukraine · 29.7%$10 million
WaterRomania52.3%Ukraine · 17.2%$8 million
Ceramic building bricksRomania89.1%over 75%Ukraine · 7.8%$5 million
Plasterboard and plaster articlesRomania59.6%Ukraine · 34.8%$5 million
Corrugated paper and paperboardRomania72.3%Ukraine · 17.1%$3 million
Glass cullet and scrapRomania99.8%over 75%Germany · 0.13%$1 million
Aluminum cans, drums and containersRomania67.2%Czechia · 14.5%$1 million
Fluorine, chlorine, bromine and iodineRomania90.8%over 75%India · 3.9%$932 thousand
Quicklime and slaked limeRomania84.6%over 75%Ukraine · 6.2%$885 thousand
Caustic soda and potashRomania62.4%Turkey · 14.9%$703 thousand

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Romania

Moldova is Romania’s 19th-largest customer, with 1.6% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.