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How much of Belarus’ trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $7 billion of Belarus’ trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 43% of its seaborne trade. That is $1.8 billion of exports and $5.2 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, Indonesia and South Korea.

Summary

Estimated value
$7billion
Of its seaborne trade
43%
Exports
$1.8billion
Imports
$5.2billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Belarus’ estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope rose 39,689% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Belarus 7

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$401 thousand0%
1996$111 thousand0%
1997$16 thousand0%
1998$12 million0.4%
1999$4 million0.1%
2000$3 million0.1%
2001$7 million0.2%
2002$5 million0.1%
2003$11 million0.2%
2004$4 million0.1%
2005$4 million0%
2006$8 million0.1%
2007$21 million0.1%
2008$41 million0.2%
2009$12 million0.1%
2010$19 million0.1%
2011$16 million0.1%
2012$23 million0.1%
2013$33 million0.1%
2014$31 million0.2%
2015$100 million0.6%
2016$6 million0%
2017$25 million0.1%
2018$15 million0.1%
2019$18 million0.1%
2020$17 million0.1%
2021$12 million0.1%
2022$3 million0%
2023$1 million0%
2024$7 billion43%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Belarus–China$6.6 billion · 94.1%
  2. Belarus–Indonesia$103 million · 1.5%
  3. Belarus–South Korea$67 million · 0.95%
  4. Belarus–Thailand$56 million · 0.79%
  5. Belarus–India$41 million · 0.58%
  6. Belarus–Taiwan$40 million · 0.57%
  7. Belarus–Malaysia$29 million · 0.41%
  8. Belarus–Pakistan$29 million · 0.41%
  9. Belarus–Philippines$25 million · 0.35%
  10. Belarus–Singapore$19 million · 0.26%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Cars$1.6 billion · 22.9%
  2. Potash fertilizers$852 million · 12.1%
  3. Monitors and projectors$300 million · 4.3%
  4. Rapeseed and mustard oil$204 million · 2.9%
  5. Sawn wood$191 million · 2.7%
  6. Poultry meat$177 million · 2.5%
  7. Diesel engines$136 million · 1.9%
  8. Auto parts$130 million · 1.9%
  9. Powdered and condensed milk$75 million · 1.1%
  10. Washing machines$73 million · 1%

Reference ports

Klaipeda (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints