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How much of Belarus’ trade passes through the Øresund?

In 2024, an estimated $14.3 billion of Belarus’ trade passed through the Øresund, 87.5% of its seaborne trade. That is $4.9 billion of exports and $9.4 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, Turkey and Kazakhstan.

Summary

Estimated value
$14.3billion
Of its seaborne trade
87.5%
Exports
$4.9billion
Imports
$9.4billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Belarus’ estimated trade through the Øresund fell 17% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Belarus 14.3

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$1.1 billion55.7%
1996$1.2 billion61.5%
1997$1.2 billion58.1%
1998$2.5 billion71.4%
1999$2.3 billion69.8%
2000$2.6 billion70.2%
2001$2.6 billion70.9%
2002$3.3 billion73.7%
2003$4.1 billion78.6%
2004$6.3 billion78%
2005$8.9 billion81.7%
2006$11.7 billion81.3%
2007$13.9 billion81.4%
2008$19.1 billion82.4%
2009$14.1 billion81%
2010$16.3 billion84.3%
2011$23.7 billion81.5%
2012$23.8 billion81.9%
2013$18.7 billion78.7%
2014$16.5 billion79.8%
2015$15.8 billion85.7%
2016$12.4 billion83.4%
2017$15.9 billion84.1%
2018$18.5 billion82.8%
2019$17.2 billion83.4%
2020$15.4 billion84.7%
2021$15.7 billion80.9%
2022$12.2 billion84.3%
2023$14.8 billion86.1%
2024$14.3 billion87.5%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Belarus–China$7.8 billion · 54.4%
  2. Belarus–Turkey$1.7 billion · 11.6%
  3. Belarus–Kazakhstan$837 million · 5.8%
  4. Belarus–Uzbekistan$658 million · 4.6%
  5. Belarus–Azerbaijan$418 million · 2.9%
  6. Belarus–Italy$364 million · 2.5%
  7. Belarus–Norway$220 million · 1.5%
  8. Belarus–Netherlands$172 million · 1.2%
  9. Belarus–Georgia$168 million · 1.2%
  10. Belarus–Moldova$156 million · 1.1%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Cars$2 billion · 13.9%
  2. Potash fertilizers$1.1 billion · 7.4%
  3. Sawn wood$463 million · 3.2%
  4. Rapeseed and mustard oil$426 million · 3%
  5. Monitors and projectors$356 million · 2.5%
  6. Auto parts$336 million · 2.4%
  7. Other knitted fabric$305 million · 2.1%
  8. Poultry meat$248 million · 1.7%
  9. Tractors$238 million · 1.7%
  10. Refined petroleum$199 million · 1.4%

Reference ports

Klaipeda (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

The Great Belt is not included in the estimate: only the trade that crosses the Øresund is counted.

All maritime chokepoints