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How much of Belarus’ trade passes through the Strait of Dover?

In 2024, an estimated $13.6 billion of Belarus’ trade passed through the Strait of Dover, 83.3% of its seaborne trade. That is $4.6 billion of exports and $9 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, Turkey and Kazakhstan.

Summary

Estimated value
$13.6billion
Of its seaborne trade
83.3%
Exports
$4.6billion
Imports
$9billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Belarus’ estimated trade through the Strait of Dover rose 15% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Belarus 13.6

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$711 million34.4%
1996$745 million37.5%
1997$741 million35.5%
1998$1.7 billion47.7%
1999$1.5 billion46.3%
2000$1.6 billion44.4%
2001$1.6 billion44.5%
2002$1.9 billion43.1%
2003$2.1 billion40%
2004$3.2 billion40.2%
2005$4 billion36.8%
2006$4.9 billion34.1%
2007$6.5 billion37.6%
2008$9.7 billion42.1%
2009$7.9 billion45.2%
2010$9.1 billion47.2%
2011$13.4 billion46%
2012$12.3 billion42.5%
2013$11.9 billion50%
2014$10.4 billion50.5%
2015$10.3 billion55.7%
2016$8.8 billion59.5%
2017$10.6 billion56.4%
2018$11.9 billion53.3%
2019$11.9 billion57.5%
2020$11.5 billion63.4%
2021$12.5 billion64.3%
2022$10.9 billion75.1%
2023$14.1 billion81.9%
2024$13.6 billion83.3%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Belarus–China$7.8 billion · 57.2%
  2. Belarus–Turkey$1.7 billion · 12.2%
  3. Belarus–Kazakhstan$837 million · 6.1%
  4. Belarus–Uzbekistan$658 million · 4.8%
  5. Belarus–Azerbaijan$418 million · 3.1%
  6. Belarus–Italy$364 million · 2.7%
  7. Belarus–Georgia$168 million · 1.2%
  8. Belarus–Moldova$156 million · 1.1%
  9. Belarus–Serbia$140 million · 1%
  10. Belarus–Indonesia$121 million · 0.89%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Cars$1.9 billion · 14.3%
  2. Potash fertilizers$1.1 billion · 7.8%
  3. Sawn wood$463 million · 3.4%
  4. Monitors and projectors$356 million · 2.6%
  5. Auto parts$334 million · 2.5%
  6. Other knitted fabric$304 million · 2.2%
  7. Rapeseed and mustard oil$252 million · 1.9%
  8. Poultry meat$248 million · 1.8%
  9. Tractors$238 million · 1.8%
  10. Refined petroleum$192 million · 1.4%

Reference ports

Klaipeda (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints