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How dependent is Syria on Turkey?

In 2024, Turkey sold $2.2 billion to Syria, 56.4% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 25.3% in 2019 and 7.2% in 1995. In 125 products it sells more than 50% of what Syria buys of them (in 86, more than 75%); what Syria buys from Turkey in those products (dominated value) adds up to $1.8 billion, 45.8% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
56.4%
Value imported
$2.2billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
125
Products where it sells over 75%
86
Dominated value
$1.8billion
Share of total imports
45.8%

Trend

Trend in shares

Turkey went from 7.2% to 56.4% of what Syria buys

Share (%)

  • Turkey 56.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
19952717.2%3
19963057.3%3
19972677.2%3
19983087.2%4
19992326%5
20001814.7%6
20014804.1%8
20025824.3%7
20038805.7%3
20049344.8%4
20055795.3%5
20066955.4%4
20079825.6%5
20081,0444.9%6
20091,5668.7%2
20101,9969.7%2
20111,5849.1%2
20124866.1%4
20131,10417.6%1
20141,99228.2%1
20151,74430.8%1
20161,59131.7%1
20171,56025.8%1
20181,68424.5%1
20191,60325.3%1
20201,41931%1
20211,96342.6%1
20222,13642.1%1
20232,05048.7%1
20242,18156.4%1

Products where Turkey sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oilTurkey89.7%over 75%Lebanon · 4.1%$112 million
Wheat flourTurkey99.8%over 75%Greece · 0.09%$104 million
Refined petroleumTurkey96.3%over 75%Lebanon · 1.9%$93 million
Pet and animal feedTurkey95.6%over 75%Belgium · 1.1%$87 million
CementTurkey95.7%over 75%Egypt · 4.3%$82 million
Steel barsTurkey99.8%over 75%Egypt · 0.11%$72 million
Cane and beet sugarTurkey62.1%Brazil · 20.9%$65 million
ElectricityTurkey100%over 75%—$57 million
Live poultryTurkey99.8%over 75%Spain · 0.23%$47 million
Ceramic tilesTurkey79.8%over 75%Spain · 9.9%$43 million
Soybean meal and pelletsTurkey95.6%over 75%Egypt · 4.4%$42 million
Cables and wireTurkey96%over 75%China · 2.1%$41 million
Natural gas and LPGTurkey99.9%over 75%Lebanon · 0.09%$37 million
Soft drinksTurkey99.1%over 75%Lebanon · 0.9%$36 million
Other nuts (almonds, walnuts)Turkey98.8%over 75%Georgia · 1%$35 million
Bread, biscuits and pastriesTurkey98.6%over 75%Egypt · 0.62%$34 million
Welded steel pipesTurkey99.3%over 75%China · 0.55%$33 million
MargarineTurkey95%over 75%Malaysia · 2.6%$31 million
CornTurkey86.6%over 75%Lebanon · 9.1%$29 million
Hot-rolled flat steelTurkey56.7%Egypt · 38.3%$28 million
Other oilseedsTurkey90.2%over 75%India · 3%$24 million
PastaTurkey98.4%over 75%Egypt · 1.3%$23 million
Toilet paper and tissuesTurkey94.1%over 75%Lebanon · 3.7%$22 million
Plastic rods and profilesTurkey98.6%over 75%China · 1.4%$21 million
Medicines in measured doses or retail packsTurkey52%France · 18.3%$20 million
Fiberboard (MDF)Turkey64.6%Indonesia · 25.3%$20 million
Sunflower seedsTurkey99.9%over 75%Egypt · 0.07%$20 million
Eggs in shellTurkey92.5%over 75%United Kingdom · 5.6%$19 million
Dried legumes (beans, lentils, peas)Turkey55.7%Canada · 18.1%$19 million
Nitrogen fertilizersTurkey72.8%Egypt · 20.9%$19 million

and 95 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Turkey

Syria is Turkey’s 31st-largest customer, with 0.8% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.