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Who does Nicaragua rely on?

The largest supplier of Nicaragua in 2024 is the United States, with 23.2% of what Nicaragua buys. Its share was 26.8% in 2019 and 29.9% in 1995. 288 of the 543 products Nicaragua buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Nicaragua buys of that product; in 116, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 33.5% of what Nicaragua buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: United States
23.2%
Concentration (HHI)
1,053
Products with a supplier above 50%
288
Products with a supplier above 75%
116

Concentration index (HHI): 1,053 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 10 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

China went from 0.5% to 14.3% of what Nicaragua buys

Share (%)

  • United States 23.2%
  • China 14.3%
  • Mexico 8.5%
  • Guatemala 8.5%
  • Honduras 8.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995United States29.9%
1996United States29.9%
1997United States33.3%
1998United States23.1%
1999United States30.9%
2000United States22.7%
2001United States24.8%
2002United States23.5%
2003United States23.8%
2004United States19.3%
2005United States18.2%
2006United States19.6%
2007United States20.8%
2008United States19.3%
2009United States18.1%
2010United States18.5%
2011United States16.9%
2012United States16.7%
2013United States15.2%
2014United States14.7%
2015United States16.5%
2016United States21.5%
2017United States21.9%
2018United States25.9%
2019United States26.8%
2020United States23.8%
2021United States24.2%
2022United States26%
2023United States24.3%
2024United States23.2%

Its suppliers

  1. United States$2.7 billion · 23.2%
  2. China$1.7 billion · 14.3%
  3. Mexico$997 million · 8.5%
  4. Guatemala$995 million · 8.5%
  5. Honduras$990 million · 8.4%
  6. Costa Rica$707 million · 6%
  7. El Salvador$578 million · 4.9%
  8. India$377 million · 3.2%
  9. Ecuador$268 million · 2.3%
  10. Japan$231 million · 2%

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 543 products Nicaragua buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumUnited States68.6%Ecuador · 24%$853 million
Crude petroleumUnited States100%over 75%Guatemala · 0%$518 million
T-shirtsHonduras70.2%India · 21.7%$485 million
CornUnited States59.9%Brazil · 22.8%$168 million
Sweaters and pulloversHonduras77%over 75%India · 15.7%$167 million
Natural gas and LPGUnited States57.9%El Salvador · 36.2%$144 million
MotorcyclesChina61.5%India · 30.6%$127 million
RiceUnited States84.5%over 75%El Salvador · 7.9%$120 million
Nitrogen fertilizersRussia54.9%China · 26.1%$92 million
Steel barsCosta Rica52.4%Turkey · 17.7%$91 million
Soybean meal and pelletsUnited States87.1%over 75%Argentina · 11.6%$78 million
Bags, suitcases and casesChina91.6%over 75%United States · 2.3%$72 million
Vaccines, blood and antiseraRussia51.5%United States · 8.2%$67 million
Detergents and surfactantsGuatemala61.3%El Salvador · 15.3%$62 million
PorkUnited States99.7%over 75%Costa Rica · 0.19%$57 million
New tiresChina58.8%Costa Rica · 10.2%$56 million
SoapGuatemala55.6%Honduras · 33.3%$56 million
WheatUnited States54.7%Canada · 45.2%$55 million
Synthetic staple fiber fabricUnited States95.8%over 75%China · 1.3%$55 million
TractorsUnited States50.8%Mexico · 19.8%$54 million
Heavy cotton fabricUnited States53.8%Mexico · 30.2%$51 million
Cigarettes and cigarsUnited States54.7%Mexico · 24.2%$51 million
Used clothingUnited States68.6%Canada · 13.5%$46 million
Other clothing accessories (not knitted)Honduras88.2%over 75%Canada · 3.9%$45 million
ComputersChina52.8%Mexico · 14.5%$45 million

and 263 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: United States
46.8%
Concentration (HHI)
2,460

Concentration index (HHI): 2,460 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 4 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

Mexico went from 1.4% to 11.6% of what Nicaragua sells

Share (%)

  • United States 46.8%
  • Mexico 11.6%
  • Canada 6.5%
  • El Salvador 5.6%
  • Senegal 4.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995United States46.9%
1996United States52.9%
1997United States54.1%
1998United States52.3%
1999United States56.2%
2000United States50.8%
2001United States47.4%
2002United States59.6%
2003United States62.7%
2004United States63.2%
2005United States55.3%
2006United States64.2%
2007United States52.4%
2008United States51.3%
2009United States52%
2010United States51.5%
2011United States39.9%
2012United States52%
2013United States47.7%
2014United States47.7%
2015United States55.2%
2016United States56.2%
2017United States58%
2018United States60.9%
2019United States61.5%
2020United States59.6%
2021United States57.9%
2022United States54.3%
2023United States50.4%
2024United States46.8%

104 of the 152 products Nicaragua sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Nicaragua sells of that product; in 61, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 45.3% of what Nicaragua sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Cables and wireMexico65.8%United States · 32.9%$1 billion
T-shirtsUnited States78.2%over 75%Honduras · 9.5%$1 billion
Cigarettes and cigarsUnited States82.4%over 75%Belgium · 2.7%$461 million
Sweaters and pulloversUnited States83.3%over 75%Honduras · 7.9%$375 million
Crude petroleumSenegal100%over 75%—$357 million
Frozen beefUnited States62.2%Guatemala · 10.9%$319 million
CheeseEl Salvador68.7%United States · 30.2%$216 million
Men's suits and trousersUnited States93.3%over 75%Canada · 3.2%$159 million
Women's knitted blousesUnited States99.1%over 75%Canada · 0.41%$115 million
Men's shirtsUnited States96.6%over 75%Canada · 2.1%$83 million
Women's knitted suits and dressesUnited States94.5%over 75%Mexico · 1.8%$76 million
Palm oilMexico77.8%over 75%Costa Rica · 11.8%$68 million
Men's knitted suits and trousersUnited States90.4%over 75%Panama · 3.3%$61 million
Refined petroleumPanama59.1%Senegal · 28.3%$58 million
MolassesUnited States51.1%United Kingdom · 23.6%$38 million

and 89 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
128Philippines1,066
129Algeria1,058
130Nicaragua1,053
131Bolivia1,051
132Madagascar1,048
133Brazil1,023

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.