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How dependent is Mozambique on South Africa?

In 2024, South Africa sold $6.5 billion to Mozambique, 41.5% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 32% in 2019 and 58.1% in 1995. In 114 products it sells more than 50% of what Mozambique buys of them (in 68, more than 75%); what Mozambique buys from South Africa in those products (dominated value) adds up to $5.3 billion, 33.8% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
41.5%
Value imported
$6.5billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
114
Products where it sells over 75%
68
Dominated value
$5.3billion
Share of total imports
33.8%

Trend

Trend in shares

South Africa went from 58.1% to 41.5% of what Mozambique buys

Share (%)

  • South Africa 41.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199561758.1%1
199655059.7%1
199741852.4%1
199839350.2%1
199965555.3%1
200066341.5%1
200141130.9%1
200257131.7%1
200365740%1
200469535.4%1
20051,12443.1%1
200699333.1%1
20071,18334.3%1
20081,46833.9%1
20091,54335.1%1
20101,64836.4%1
20112,13127.8%1
20122,09226.2%1
20132,62322.9%1
20143,06527.2%1
20152,34122.1%1
20162,19927.1%1
20172,29928.1%1
20183,17329.5%1
20193,57132%1
20203,17930.7%1
20213,18020.6%1
20223,89119%2
20236,08534.6%1
20246,45541.5%1

Products where South Africa sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Chromium oreSouth Africa95.5%over 75%Zimbabwe · 4.5%$1.9 billion
FerroalloysSouth Africa99.2%over 75%Zimbabwe · 0.71%$1.1 billion
Iron oreSouth Africa99.1%over 75%Mauritius · 0.92%$669 million
ElectricitySouth Africa100%over 75%Malawi · 0.02%$223 million
CoalSouth Africa99.8%over 75%Zimbabwe · 0.19%$158 million
Copper oreSouth Africa99.6%over 75%Zimbabwe · 0.4%$118 million
Steel barsSouth Africa84.8%over 75%Zambia · 6.4%$70 million
Detergents and surfactantsSouth Africa73.1%South Korea · 13.9%$64 million
CornSouth Africa90.1%over 75%Zimbabwe · 2.4%$62 million
Soups and brothsSouth Africa99.4%over 75%Portugal · 0.36%$56 million
Other cereal floursSouth Africa94.6%over 75%United States · 4.2%$50 million
Dissolving wood pulpSouth Africa100%over 75%—$43 million
Soft drinksSouth Africa82.7%over 75%Austria · 9.7%$42 million
Hot-rolled flat steelSouth Africa70.6%Japan · 15.9%$39 million
Glass bottles and jarsSouth Africa62.7%India · 20.4%$30 million
Paper boxes and packagingSouth Africa60.4%Portugal · 12.1%$28 million
Malt extract and food mixesSouth Africa55%Portugal · 14.1%$20 million
PotatoesSouth Africa99.2%over 75%Zimbabwe · 0.51%$20 million
Diesel enginesSouth Africa59.8%United States · 23.2%$19 million
Other mineralsSouth Africa51.9%Zimbabwe · 47.4%$18 million
Cider and other fermented drinksSouth Africa99.3%over 75%Germany · 0.39%$18 million
Onions and garlicSouth Africa78.8%over 75%China · 21%$18 million
Fruit and vegetable juicesSouth Africa80.5%over 75%Zimbabwe · 7.4%$16 million
Soybean meal and pelletsSouth Africa80.9%over 75%Malawi · 15.1%$16 million
Other food preparationsSouth Africa58%Portugal · 15.9%$16 million
Industrial fatty acids and oilsSouth Africa56%China · 14.8%$15 million
Toilet paper and tissuesSouth Africa55%China · 30.8%$15 million
PorkSouth Africa94.2%over 75%Brazil · 3.8%$15 million
Cigarettes and cigarsSouth Africa91.6%over 75%South Korea · 4.6%$14 million
Candy and sweetsSouth Africa65.9%Colombia · 10.1%$13 million

and 84 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from South Africa

Mozambique is South Africa’s 6th-largest customer, with 4.1% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.