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How much of Poland’s trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $68.8 billion of Poland’s trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 17.4% of its seaborne trade. That is $9 billion of exports and $59.8 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, South Korea and India.

Summary

Estimated value
$68.8billion
Of its seaborne trade
17.4%
Exports
$9billion
Imports
$59.8billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Poland’s estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope rose 6,190% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Poland 68.8

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$87 million0.3%
1996$74 million0.2%
1997$78 million0.2%
1998$74 million0.2%
1999$75 million0.2%
2000$70 million0.2%
2001$64 million0.1%
2002$87 million0.2%
2003$104 million0.2%
2004$154 million0.2%
2005$253 million0.3%
2006$375 million0.3%
2007$408 million0.3%
2008$630 million0.3%
2009$418 million0.3%
2010$450 million0.3%
2011$750 million0.4%
2012$502 million0.3%
2013$570 million0.3%
2014$611 million0.3%
2015$565 million0.3%
2016$615 million0.3%
2017$840 million0.4%
2018$1.1 billion0.4%
2019$1.1 billion0.4%
2020$1 billion0.4%
2021$1.1 billion0.3%
2022$1.8 billion0.5%
2023$1.4 billion0.4%
2024$68.8 billion17.4%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Poland–China$39.5 billion · 57.4%
  2. Poland–South Korea$5.1 billion · 7.4%
  3. Poland–India$3.7 billion · 5.4%
  4. Poland–Japan$3.6 billion · 5.3%
  5. Poland–Bangladesh$3.3 billion · 4.9%
  6. Poland–Vietnam$2.3 billion · 3.3%
  7. Poland–Taiwan$1 billion · 1.5%
  8. Poland–South Africa$958 million · 1.4%
  9. Poland–Thailand$903 million · 1.3%
  10. Poland–Pakistan$876 million · 1.3%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Cars$2.6 billion · 3.9%
  2. Computer and office machine parts$2.4 billion · 3.6%
  3. Auto parts$1.9 billion · 2.8%
  4. Chromates, permanganates and other metal salts$1.4 billion · 2.1%
  5. Women's suits and dresses$1.4 billion · 2%
  6. Batteries$1.4 billion · 2%
  7. Parts for broadcast equipment$1.3 billion · 2%
  8. Sweaters and pullovers$1.2 billion · 1.7%
  9. Transformers and power supplies$1.1 billion · 1.5%
  10. Men's suits and trousers$839 million · 1.2%

Reference ports

Gdańsk (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints