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How dependent is Russia on Kazakhstan?

In 2024, Kazakhstan sold $9.5 billion to Russia, 4.7% of its imports, ranking 2nd among its suppliers. Its share was 2.4% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. In 48 products it sells more than 50% of what Russia buys of them (in 33, more than 75%); what Russia buys from Kazakhstan in those products (dominated value) adds up to $4.4 billion, 2.2% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
4.7%
Value imported
$9.5billion
Rank among its suppliers
2nd
Products where it sells over 50%
48
Products where it sells over 75%
33
Dominated value
$4.4billion
Share of total imports
2.2%

Trend

Trend in shares

Kazakhstan went from 0% to 4.7% of what Russia buys

Share (%)

  • Kazakhstan 4.7%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199500%—
19962,9005.6%5
19972,6554.6%5
19981,6453.2%8
19991,3984%7
20002,0985.2%5
20011,7833.6%9
20021,5702.9%9
20032,0553%9
20042,9283.2%10
20052,9882.6%13
20063,8112.5%13
20074,6812.1%15
20086,3172.2%14
20093,6232.1%13
20103,0051.3%21
20117,5132.4%12
20127,8942.4%12
20136,1671.9%15
20146,8542.3%12
20154,7212.5%11
20163,9011.9%11
20174,9982%10
20185,3812.2%10
20195,9862.4%10
20205,3762.3%10
20217,6902.7%9
20228,7804.5%4
20239,7824.5%4
20249,5454.7%2

Products where Kazakhstan sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Radioactive elementsKazakhstan96.5%over 75%France · 3%$1.8 billion
Hot-rolled flat steelKazakhstan96.4%over 75%Ukraine · 1.8%$458 million
Iron oreKazakhstan100%over 75%China · 0%$380 million
Cold-rolled flat steelKazakhstan96.2%over 75%China · 3.2%$236 million
Unwrought zincKazakhstan74.4%Uzbekistan · 24%$227 million
Copper oreKazakhstan95%over 75%Armenia · 5%$217 million
GoldKazakhstan98.9%over 75%Armenia · 0.88%$178 million
CoalKazakhstan99.9%over 75%China · 0.08%$155 million
Chromium oreKazakhstan84.7%over 75%China · 7.4%$114 million
Natural gas and LPGKazakhstan93.8%over 75%South Korea · 4.7%$83 million
Zinc oreKazakhstan100%over 75%—$80 million
Natural phosphatesKazakhstan100%over 75%China · 0%$73 million
Ferrous scrapKazakhstan98.9%over 75%Turkey · 1.1%$42 million
SaltKazakhstan79.5%over 75%Turkey · 8.4%$34 million
Unrefined copperKazakhstan100%over 75%Norway · 0.04%$31 million
Steel barsKazakhstan86.8%over 75%China · 8.2%$31 million
Mixed fertilizersKazakhstan59.6%Spain · 12.2%$29 million
Ice creamKazakhstan71.3%South Korea · 17.1%$21 million
CementKazakhstan55.5%China · 22.9%$20 million
CarbidesKazakhstan74.8%China · 24.5%$16 million
Phosphoric acidKazakhstan64%China · 34.3%$15 million
TantalumKazakhstan72.7%China · 27.3%$14 million
Coal tarKazakhstan95.3%over 75%China · 4.7%$13 million
Artificial filament fabricKazakhstan61.2%China · 14.3%$11 million
Raw cottonKazakhstan92.7%over 75%Turkey · 3.7%$10 million
FlaxseedKazakhstan94.9%over 75%Belgium · 3.9%$10 million
Coal tar oilsKazakhstan69.6%China · 11.8%$9 million
Plastic waste and scrapKazakhstan57.2%Turkey · 33.6%$9 million
BariteKazakhstan60.8%China · 21%$8 million
Wheat flourKazakhstan75.4%over 75%Italy · 20.3%$8 million

and 18 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Kazakhstan

Russia is Kazakhstan’s 2nd-largest customer, with 10.6% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.