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Who does Malawi rely on?

The largest supplier of Malawi in 2024 is China, with 16% of what Malawi buys. Its share was 18.4% in 2019 and 2.5% in 1995. 186 of the 301 products Malawi buys for more than $1 million have a supplier selling more than 50% of what Malawi buys of that product; in 60, more than 75%. In those products, purchases from each one’s dominant supplier add up to 30.3% of what Malawi buys.

Summary

Largest supplier: China
16%
Concentration (HHI)
797
Products with a supplier above 50%
186
Products with a supplier above 75%
60

Concentration index (HHI): 797 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting purchases among 13 suppliers of the same size

Trend

Trend in shares

South Africa went from 32.1% to 14.9% of what Malawi buys

Share (%)

  • China 16%
  • South Africa 14.9%
  • Tanzania 10.2%
  • United Arab Emirates 8.5%
  • India 8.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest supplierShare
1995South Africa32.1%
1996South Africa55.7%
1997South Africa53.6%
1998South Africa50%
1999South Africa35%
2000South Africa39.1%
2001South Africa43.3%
2002South Africa37.8%
2003South Africa37.3%
2004South Africa28.9%
2005South Africa30.3%
2006South Africa31.8%
2007South Africa26.5%
2008South Africa25.1%
2009South Africa30.8%
2010South Africa28%
2011South Africa22.9%
2012South Africa21.9%
2013South Africa19.7%
2014South Africa18.5%
2015South Africa18.1%
2016South Africa17.5%
2017South Africa18.1%
2018South Africa18.9%
2019China18.4%
2020South Africa19.7%
2021China17.7%
2022China16.2%
2023China16.7%
2024China16%

Its suppliers

  1. China$522 million · 16%
  2. South Africa$485 million · 14.9%
  3. Tanzania$332 million · 10.2%
  4. United Arab Emirates$279 million · 8.5%
  5. India$273 million · 8.4%
  6. Zambia$122 million · 3.7%
  7. Japan$94 million · 2.9%
  8. Mozambique$87 million · 2.7%
  9. Kuwait$83 million · 2.5%
  10. Switzerland$82 million · 2.5%

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Products with a dominant supplier

Of the 301 products Malawi buys for more than $1 million in 2024, these are the highest-value ones with a dominant supplier.

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Medicines in measured doses or retail packsIndia63.3%Kenya · 9.8%$122 million
Stamps and banknotesUnited Kingdom56.5%Malta · 10.1%$95 million
Used clothingChina60.9%Switzerland · 12.6%$80 million
SoapIndonesia58.8%Tanzania · 10.7%$67 million
Palm oilMalaysia93.4%over 75%United Arab Emirates · 2.6%$63 million
Coated flat steelChina66.9%Hong Kong · 16.8%$46 million
Raw tobaccoZambia73%Mozambique · 23.8%$43 million
Furnishing textilesNetherlands93.8%over 75%Pakistan · 2.5%$42 million
CementZambia56%United Arab Emirates · 34.4%$38 million
Other industrial machinesIndia84.1%over 75%China · 7.9%$38 million
Vaccines, blood and antiseraBelgium50.8%India · 13.4%$36 million
PolypropyleneSouth Africa65.9%China · 14.7%$32 million
Detergents and surfactantsTanzania55.4%Zambia · 26.4%$32 million
New tiresChina72.2%South Africa · 10.9%$25 million
Cables and wireChina59.9%India · 9.2%$24 million
MicrochipsIndia73.8%China · 9.9%$22 million
Other cereal floursSouth Africa50.6%Tanzania · 48.3%$22 million
Other food preparationsSouth Africa64%Eswatini · 22.4%$20 million
Toilet paper and tissuesKenya56.6%South Africa · 32.3%$20 million
Soybean oilArgentina53.6%Malaysia · 43.4%$18 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsChina50.2%South Africa · 13%$16 million
Ceramic tilesZambia54.3%Zimbabwe · 12.5%$15 million
Steel barsSouth Africa56.4%Zambia · 34.8%$14 million
PVC and other vinyl polymersChina73.6%South Korea · 14%$14 million
Books and brochuresUnited Arab Emirates63.1%South Africa · 11%$13 million

and 161 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Some of these goods may have been produced in another country: countries record origin in different ways.

Countries that sell more than 50% of some product; the darker, the higher the value of those products.

Selling: who it relies on

Largest customer: India
9.6%
Concentration (HHI)
424

Concentration index (HHI): 424 out of 10,000; equivalent to splitting sales among 24 customers of the same size

Trend in shares

India went from 0.93% to 9.6% of what Malawi sells

Share (%)

  • India 9.6%
  • Germany 9.5%
  • South Africa 6.6%
  • Turkey 5.6%
  • Zimbabwe 5.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearLargest customerShare
1995Germany14.4%
1996South Africa14.1%
1997South Africa14%
1998South Africa14.6%
1999United States14.1%
2000United States13.2%
2001United States17.7%
2002United States18.9%
2003United States13.1%
2004United States12.7%
2005United States18.5%
2006United States12.5%
2007Zimbabwe15.2%
2008South Africa11.9%
2009India8.2%
2010Canada12.5%
2011Canada15.1%
2012Canada15.4%
2013Canada19.7%
2014Germany7.5%
2015Germany11.8%
2016Germany9.5%
2017Germany11.4%
2018Germany13.4%
2019Egypt11.5%
2020Germany9.6%
2021United Arab Emirates10.7%
2022United Arab Emirates23.2%
2023Germany9.8%
2024India9.6%

34 of the 46 products Malawi sells for more than $1 million have a customer buying more than 50% of what Malawi sells of that product; in 21, more than 75%. In those products, sales to each one’s dominant customer add up to 18.9% of what Malawi sells.

ProductCustomerShareSecondValue
Dried legumes (beans, lentils, peas)India80.8%over 75%Zimbabwe · 5.3%$103 million
Cane and beet sugarUnited States56%South Africa · 8.3%$14 million
PeanutsSouth Africa71.8%Zimbabwe · 12.3%$14 million
Poultry meatDemocratic Republic of the Congo72.8%Republic of the Congo · 25.1%$13 million
Special-purpose vehiclesRwanda96.2%over 75%Tanzania · 1.1%$10 million
SoybeansZimbabwe89.5%over 75%Zambia · 2.5%$7 million
Other oilseedsMozambique63.4%Italy · 7.9%$6 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsAngola51.8%Mozambique · 18.9%$6 million
Natural rubberSouth Africa94.8%over 75%Zambia · 4.9%$4 million
Packing sacks and bagsZimbabwe52.6%Zambia · 30%$4 million
Oilseed floursKenya59.1%Tanzania · 25.1%$3 million
Unwrought leadChina99.8%over 75%Malaysia · 0.24%$3 million
Starch, sugar and brewing residuesPakistan100%over 75%—$3 million
Plastic sheets and filmZambia91.6%over 75%Mozambique · 7.1%$3 million
Unwrought aluminumChina99.5%over 75%Malaysia · 0.47%$2 million

and 19 more

Concentration compared

The closest countries in the concentration ranking (HHI, highest first).

RankCountryHHI
163Saudi Arabia798
164Azerbaijan798
165Malawi797
166Denmark785
167Ukraine785
168Latvia784

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.