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How much of Bahrain’s trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $8.4 billion of Bahrain’s trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 28.2% of its seaborne trade. That is $4.9 billion of exports and $3.5 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are Brazil, the United States and Germany.

Summary

Estimated value
$8.4billion
Of its seaborne trade
28.2%
Exports
$4.9billion
Imports
$3.5billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Bahrain’s estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope rose 765% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Bahrain 8.4

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$54 million1.9%
1996$62 million2%
1997$109 million3.3%
1998$80 million2%
1999$94 million2.7%
2000$120 million2%
2001$142 million2.4%
2002$115 million1.8%
2003$136 million2%
2004$145 million1.8%
2005$256 million2.3%
2006$171 million1.5%
2007$132 million1%
2008$439 million2.1%
2009$357 million2.7%
2010$635 million3.6%
2011$1.3 billion4.5%
2012$864 million3.8%
2013$524 million1.8%
2014$738 million1.9%
2015$617 million2.1%
2016$486 million2.3%
2017$632 million2.5%
2018$929 million2.9%
2019$971 million3%
2020$922 million3.6%
2021$2.2 billion7.5%
2022$2.6 billion7.3%
2023$2.9 billion8.7%
2024$8.4 billion28.2%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Bahrain–Brazil$1.5 billion · 17.8%
  2. Bahrain–United States$1.1 billion · 12.8%
  3. Bahrain–Germany$528 million · 6.3%
  4. Bahrain–Egypt$486 million · 5.8%
  5. Bahrain–Morocco$437 million · 5.2%
  6. Bahrain–France$423 million · 5%
  7. Bahrain–Italy$363 million · 4.3%
  8. Bahrain–Spain$361 million · 4.3%
  9. Bahrain–Netherlands$356 million · 4.2%
  10. Bahrain–Turkey$328 million · 3.9%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Iron ore$1.8 billion · 21.7%
  2. Unwrought aluminum$1.8 billion · 21.7%
  3. Refined petroleum$1.5 billion · 17.5%
  4. Aluminum wire$339 million · 4%
  5. Cars$233 million · 2.8%
  6. Aluminum sheet$200 million · 2.4%
  7. Uninsulated aluminum cable$140 million · 1.7%
  8. Nitrogen fertilizers$103 million · 1.2%
  9. Refined copper$86 million · 1%
  10. Fiberglass and glass wool$81 million · 0.97%

Reference ports

Mina Salman (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints