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How dependent is Zambia on South Africa?

In 2024, South Africa sold $3 billion to Zambia, 24.9% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 28.2% in 2019 and 30.6% in 1995. In 147 products it sells more than 50% of what Zambia buys of them (in 67, more than 75%); what Zambia buys from South Africa in those products (dominated value) adds up to $891 million, 7.5% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
24.9%
Value imported
$3billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
147
Products where it sells over 75%
67
Dominated value
$891million
Share of total imports
7.5%

Trend

Trend in shares

South Africa went from 30.6% to 24.9% of what Zambia buys

Share (%)

  • South Africa 24.9%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199529230.6%1
199631832.1%1
199743034.7%1
199845837.2%1
199939440.6%1
200059053.3%1
200163951.6%1
200279453.4%1
200379346.4%1
20041,02848.4%1
20051,11645.7%1
20061,42143.3%1
20071,72243.3%1
20082,05740.6%1
20091,51437.9%1
20101,83433%1
20112,57234%1
20122,85832.1%1
20133,03428%1
20143,05030%1
20152,55231.1%1
20162,41331.4%1
20172,44730%1
20182,74527.1%1
20192,27728.2%1
20201,81030.7%1
20212,24230.4%1
20222,71528.9%1
20232,67524.2%1
20242,95024.9%1

Products where South Africa sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
TrailersSouth Africa54%China · 32.3%$55 million
PolypropyleneSouth Africa86.7%over 75%China · 3.5%$49 million
Hot-rolled flat steelSouth Africa53.6%China · 30.9%$40 million
BeerSouth Africa92.6%over 75%Namibia · 5.1%$39 million
Fragrance mixturesSouth Africa53.2%Eswatini · 23.7%$31 million
BatteriesSouth Africa52.4%China · 27.1%$31 million
Refrigerators, freezers and heat pumpsSouth Africa53.9%China · 30.4%$26 million
Plastic pipes and hosesSouth Africa56.5%China · 25.6%$23 million
Aluminum cans, drums and containersSouth Africa99.8%over 75%China · 0.16%$22 million
Welded steel pipesSouth Africa74.1%China · 15.5%$19 million
Pet and animal feedSouth Africa76.7%over 75%China · 4.6%$19 million
Uncoated paperSouth Africa81.2%over 75%Zimbabwe · 7.6%$18 million
Powdered and condensed milkSouth Africa71.7%United Arab Emirates · 9.8%$16 million
SoapSouth Africa65.2%Kenya · 14.7%$15 million
Other food preparationsSouth Africa51.4%Zimbabwe · 12.1%$13 million
Prepared explosivesSouth Africa94.8%over 75%Mozambique · 2.5%$13 million
Malt extract and food mixesSouth Africa84.9%over 75%Denmark · 4.1%$13 million
Polishes and scouring creamsSouth Africa96.3%over 75%Kenya · 2.3%$12 million
Steel wire mesh, netting and fencingSouth Africa82%over 75%China · 16.4%$12 million
Hydrogenated fats and oilsSouth Africa71.2%Tanzania · 27.1%$11 million
PVC and other vinyl polymersSouth Africa54.5%China · 30.7%$11 million
Iron or steel pipe fittingsSouth Africa56.8%China · 23%$11 million
Fruit and vegetable juicesSouth Africa76.5%over 75%Eswatini · 8.7%$10 million
Sauces and condimentsSouth Africa84.4%over 75%Kenya · 10.3%$9 million
Toilet paper and tissuesSouth Africa59%Tanzania · 20.1%$9 million
Prefabricated buildingsSouth Africa52.2%China · 21%$9 million
Writing and printing paperSouth Africa75.4%over 75%China · 12.7%$8 million
Steel wireSouth Africa80.1%over 75%China · 13%$8 million
MargarineSouth Africa53.9%Kenya · 37.3%$7 million
Particle board and OSBSouth Africa97.2%over 75%China · 1.9%$7 million

and 117 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from South Africa

Zambia is South Africa’s 13th-largest customer, with 1.9% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.