How dependent is the European Union on Ukraine?

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

• Ukraine sells 29.5% of what the world exports of sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oil; next come Russia (24.1%), Turkey (7%) and Argentina (4.5%). The rest of the world exported 2.8 times what the European Union buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 13.1% of what the world exports of corn; next come United States (23.9%), Brazil (19.5%) and Argentina (16.3%). The rest of the world exported 12.5 times what the European Union buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 14.7% of what the world exports of rapeseed (canola); next come Canada (32%), Australia (22.7%) and United States (1.6%). The rest of the world exported 4.6 times what the European Union buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 3.1% of what the world exports of lard and poultry fat; next come Canada (5.7%), United States (5.1%) and Brazil (3.7%). The rest of the world exported 6.4 times what the European Union buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 4.6% of what the world exports of wood wool and wood flour; next come Vietnam (17.7%), United States (4.7%) and United Kingdom (4.6%). The rest of the world exported 8.7 times what the European Union buys from Ukraine.

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

The European Union is Ukraine’s 1st-largest customer, with 56.3% of its exports.

• Who does the European Union rely on?
• Who does Ukraine rely on?
• Dependence of the European Union on China
• Dependence of the European Union on the United States
• Dependence of the European Union on Switzerland
• Dependence of the European Union on the United Kingdom
• Dependence of the European Union on Norway
• Dependence of the European Union on Brazil
• Dependence of the European Union on Turkey
• Dependence of the European Union on South Korea
• Dependence of the European Union on North Macedonia
• Dependence of the European Union on the Cayman Islands
• Dependence of the European Union on Morocco
• Dependence of the European Union on Côte d'Ivoire
• Dependence of the European Union on Russia
• Dependence of the European Union on Tunisia
• Dependence of the European Union on Argentina
• Dependence of the European Union on Vietnam
• Dependence of the European Union on India
• Trade profile of Ukraine
• All countries

Sources and licenses

• CEPII BACI · Licence Ouverte Etalab 2.0
• Natural Earth · Public domain

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.