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How dependent is Zimbabwe on South Africa?

In 2024, South Africa sold $3.8 billion to Zimbabwe, 39.2% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 37.7% in 2019 and 41.4% in 1995. In 196 products it sells more than 50% of what Zimbabwe buys of them (in 110, more than 75%); what Zimbabwe buys from South Africa in those products (dominated value) adds up to $2.1 billion, 22.4% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
39.2%
Value imported
$3.8billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
196
Products where it sells over 75%
110
Dominated value
$2.1billion
Share of total imports
22.4%

Trend

South Africa went from 41.4% to 39.2% of what Zimbabwe buys

Trend in shares

South Africa went from 41.4% to 39.2% of what Zimbabwe buys

Share (%)

  • South Africa 39.2%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
19951,12341.4%1
19961,24755.8%1
19971,03049.5%1
199887549.4%1
199983854.9%1
200095044.7%1
200169644.7%1
20021,06348.4%1
200371248.4%1
20041,27645.7%1
20051,07443.1%1
20061,06245.9%1
20071,35144.6%1
20081,10551.8%1
20094,33477.2%1
20102,43444.5%1
20112,64841.7%1
20122,85839.8%1
20132,49438.7%1
20142,52640.5%1
20152,34337.5%1
20162,18139.7%1
20172,08839.8%1
20182,51937.7%1
20191,88237.7%1
20202,52243.3%1
20213,21041.6%1
20223,49339.1%1
20233,47037%1
20243,75539.2%1

Products where South Africa sells more than half

196 products, 22.4% of what it buys
ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
CornSouth Africa98.5%over 75%United States · 1.2%$589 million
Natural gas and LPGSouth Africa96.8%over 75%Mozambique · 1.4%$111 million
Bulldozers and excavatorsSouth Africa55.4%China · 26.3%$66 million
SoybeansSouth Africa83%over 75%Malawi · 9.8%$54 million
Toilet paper and tissuesSouth Africa82.5%over 75%Zambia · 11%$51 million
PolyethyleneSouth Africa67.2%China · 8.4%$44 million
Sprayers and fire extinguishersSouth Africa79.1%over 75%China · 12.2%$41 million
Other food preparationsSouth Africa91.5%over 75%Egypt · 2.6%$39 million
Centrifuges and filtersSouth Africa64.4%China · 19.6%$35 million
Parts for cranes and excavatorsSouth Africa67.6%China · 17.7%$35 million
Steel angles and sectionsSouth Africa74.9%China · 15.9%$33 million
Plastic packagingSouth Africa69.1%China · 10%$31 million
Sauces and condimentsSouth Africa97.1%over 75%China · 1.9%$30 million
Pet and animal feedSouth Africa94.8%over 75%India · 1.6%$30 million
Detergents and surfactantsSouth Africa55.2%China · 32%$29 million
Steel barsSouth Africa83%over 75%Zambia · 8.2%$27 million
Steel wireSouth Africa87.9%over 75%China · 8.7%$25 million
Screws, bolts and nutsSouth Africa74.2%China · 16.6%$25 million
Prepared explosivesSouth Africa86.7%over 75%Zambia · 12.2%$24 million
Soybean meal and pelletsSouth Africa55.3%Zambia · 34.1%$24 million
Hot-rolled flat steelSouth Africa57.4%China · 35.3%$23 million
Transmission shafts, gears and gearboxesSouth Africa62.4%China · 13.7%$21 million
Paper boxes and packagingSouth Africa82.1%over 75%Hungary · 4.7%$20 million
Generating setsSouth Africa52.7%China · 37.9%$20 million
Food processing machinerySouth Africa64.7%China · 9.6%$19 million
PVC and other vinyl polymersSouth Africa67.2%China · 23.4%$17 million
Petroleum coke and bitumenSouth Africa97.2%over 75%China · 0.71%$17 million
Particle board and OSBSouth Africa98.1%over 75%Zambia · 0.63%$17 million
Fuses, detonators and capsSouth Africa53%Peru · 24.4%$16 million
PolypropyleneSouth Africa93.9%over 75%China · 3.9%$15 million

and 166 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from South Africa

South Africa’s 9th customer, 2.4% of its sales

Zimbabwe is South Africa’s 9th-largest customer, with 2.4% of its exports.

Sources and method

CEPII BACI and 1 more

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.