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How dependent is Romania on Bulgaria?

In 2024, Bulgaria sold $6 billion to Romania, 4.4% of its imports, ranking 7th among its suppliers. Its share was 3% in 2019 and 0.71% in 1995. In 11 products it sells more than 50% of what Romania buys of them (in 4, more than 75%); what Romania buys from Bulgaria in those products (dominated value) adds up to $1.4 billion, 1.1% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
4.4%
Value imported
$6billion
Rank among its suppliers
7th
Products where it sells over 50%
11
Products where it sells over 75%
4
Dominated value
$1.4billion
Share of total imports
1.1%

Trend

Trend in shares

Bulgaria went from 0.71% to 4.4% of what Romania buys

Share (%)

  • Bulgaria 4.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
1995770.71%25
1996840.7%29
1997670.58%31
1998560.46%30
1999600.54%28
2000960.71%26
20011570.97%23
20021680.9%26
20032400.96%23
20043781.1%22
20054201%24
20065281%25
20078441.2%20
20081,5151.8%16
20091,3322.5%12
20101,8663%11
20112,1692.9%12
20121,9242.8%12
20131,9842.8%12
20142,1132.8%12
20151,9362.8%12
20162,1592.9%11
20172,2112.7%13
20182,7752.8%12
20192,9133%12
20202,9193.1%10
20214,6444%9
20228,9356.7%3
20235,6394.2%8
20246,0354.4%7

Products where Bulgaria sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Natural gas and LPGBulgaria76.8%over 75%Turkey · 6.9%$793 million
Bombs, missiles and ammunitionBulgaria63.4%Ukraine · 13.2%$488 million
Coal tar oilsBulgaria78.5%over 75%Germany · 7.7%$54 million
Plasterboard and plaster articlesBulgaria85.5%over 75%Germany · 4.7%$34 million
Other sugarsBulgaria57.1%Hungary · 16%$33 million
RiceBulgaria52.5%Italy · 13.1%$26 million
Natural sandBulgaria66.7%Egypt · 6.1%$11 million
BariteBulgaria88.4%over 75%Germany · 3.3%$3 million
Quinoa, millet and other cerealsBulgaria58.8%Hungary · 11.9%$3 million
AmmoniaBulgaria57.3%Slovakia · 19.6%$2 million
Zinc scrapBulgaria68.8%Poland · 23.6%$2 million

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Bulgaria

Romania is Bulgaria’s 2nd-largest customer, with 11.9% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.