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How dependent is Norway on Sweden?

In 2024, Sweden sold $11.1 billion to Norway, 11% of its imports, ranking 2nd among its suppliers. Its share was 11.8% in 2019 and 15.4% in 1995. In 42 products it sells more than 50% of what Norway buys of them (in 13, more than 75%); what Norway buys from Sweden in those products (dominated value) adds up to $1.7 billion, 1.7% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
11%
Value imported
$11.1billion
Rank among its suppliers
2nd
Products where it sells over 50%
42
Products where it sells over 75%
13
Dominated value
$1.7billion
Share of total imports
1.7%

Trend

Trend in shares

Sweden went from 15.4% to 11% of what Norway buys

Share (%)

  • Sweden 11%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
19955,13215.4%1
19965,95017%1
19975,69315.3%1
19985,67014.5%1
19995,26714.8%1
20005,21214.7%1
20015,22815.3%1
20025,66615.6%1
20036,68015.7%1
20047,81915.3%1
20058,26214.3%1
20069,77914.7%1
200711,91714.7%1
200812,87414%1
20099,71713.8%1
201011,12614%1
201112,46613.2%1
201212,13413.5%1
201312,31013.3%1
201411,29112.3%1
20159,20211.2%1
20169,01611.9%1
201710,14511.8%1
201810,86011.9%1
201910,56611.8%1
20209,13510.9%3
202111,64511.6%2
202213,65012.9%1
202310,93111.1%1
202411,08011%2

Products where Sweden sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
ElectricitySweden68.8%Denmark · 13.3%$304 million
Other processed tobaccoSweden79.8%over 75%Hungary · 11%$264 million
Sawn woodSweden83.2%over 75%Latvia · 4.5%$226 million
Toilet paper and tissuesSweden54.9%Netherlands · 9.6%$202 million
Ferrous scrapSweden77.1%over 75%Denmark · 10.4%$124 million
Natural gas and LPGSweden58.5%United States · 15.4%$96 million
Aluminum cans, drums and containersSweden63.2%Denmark · 8.6%$69 million
Kraft paper and paperboardSweden87.4%over 75%Finland · 7.1%$52 million
Copper wireSweden61.4%France · 11.9%$48 million
Coated flat steelSweden53.3%Finland · 8.2%$42 million
Chemical wood pulpSweden71.2%Brazil · 8.3%$41 million
Water-based paints and varnishesSweden55.3%Denmark · 12.1%$34 million
MargarineSweden54.1%Denmark · 8.6%$30 million
Coal tar oilsSweden60.5%Belgium · 18.5%$30 million
LogsSweden70.1%Latvia · 13.2%$24 million
Writing and printing paperSweden71.5%Germany · 6.6%$22 million
Metal caps and lidsSweden53.5%Poland · 16.8%$14 million
Other copper articlesSweden73%United Kingdom · 18.4%$6 million
BoratesSweden80%over 75%Finland · 8.9%$6 million
WallpaperSweden68.7%Belgium · 7.2%$5 million
Wood tar, wood creosote and vegetable pitchSweden63.6%Netherlands · 34.2%$5 million
Paper spools and coresSweden60%Finland · 18%$5 million
Envelopes and correspondence stationerySweden61.7%Poland · 12.4%$4 million
Hydrogen peroxideSweden64.4%Belgium · 22.8%$4 million
SulfurSweden99%over 75%Poland · 0.9%$4 million
GoldSweden66.4%Germany · 20.1%$4 million
Corrugated paper and paperboardSweden56.7%Germany · 8.1%$3 million
Electric locomotivesSweden79.9%over 75%Germany · 20.1%$3 million
Hoopwood, poles and wooden stakesSweden67.7%Lithuania · 7.8%$3 million
NewsprintSweden60%United Kingdom · 14.6%$3 million

and 12 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Sweden

Norway is Sweden’s 4th-largest customer, with 6% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.