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How much of Nigeria’s trade passes through the Strait of Dover?

In 2024, an estimated $17.7 billion of Nigeria’s trade passed through the Strait of Dover, 17.3% of its seaborne trade. That is $8 billion of exports and $9.7 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany.

Summary

Estimated value
$17.7billion
Of its seaborne trade
17.3%
Exports
$8billion
Imports
$9.7billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Nigeria’s estimated trade through the Strait of Dover rose 3% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Nigeria 17.7

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$2.2 billion13.4%
1996$3.3 billion14.2%
1997$3.1 billion13.3%
1998$2.2 billion12.2%
1999$1.7 billion8.4%
2000$2.8 billion9.8%
2001$3.5 billion11.6%
2002$3.5 billion12.6%
2003$4.3 billion11.7%
2004$3.3 billion7%
2005$4.9 billion8.1%
2006$8.3 billion9.8%
2007$15.5 billion14.4%
2008$12.2 billion9.3%
2009$9.6 billion10.7%
2010$14.3 billion11.3%
2011$20.9 billion12.7%
2012$18.6 billion12.6%
2013$21.4 billion15.4%
2014$22.1 billion15.2%
2015$15.1 billion16.4%
2016$11.9 billion17.6%
2017$13.9 billion17.2%
2018$18.9 billion19%
2019$17.2 billion16.9%
2020$16.2 billion18.6%
2021$18 billion17.2%
2022$28.2 billion22.1%
2023$22.9 billion21%
2024$17.7 billion17.3%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Nigeria–Belgium$4.8 billion · 27.4%
  2. Nigeria–Netherlands$4.5 billion · 25.4%
  3. Nigeria–Germany$2.6 billion · 14.7%
  4. Nigeria–Norway$1.2 billion · 7%
  5. Nigeria–Poland$967 million · 5.5%
  6. Nigeria–Sweden$836 million · 4.7%
  7. Nigeria–Switzerland$778 million · 4.4%
  8. Nigeria–Lithuania$594 million · 3.4%
  9. Nigeria–Latvia$447 million · 2.5%
  10. Nigeria–France$357 million · 2%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Refined petroleum$6.5 billion · 36.7%
  2. Crude petroleum$5.7 billion · 32.3%
  3. Wheat$1.5 billion · 8.5%
  4. Cocoa beans$1 billion · 5.9%
  5. Natural gas and LPG$325 million · 1.8%
  6. Frozen fish$281 million · 1.6%
  7. Cocoa butter$174 million · 0.98%
  8. Gold$138 million · 0.78%
  9. Malt extract and food mixes$84 million · 0.48%
  10. Powdered and condensed milk$77 million · 0.44%

Reference ports

Lagos (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints