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How much of Mozambique’s trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $3.7 billion of Mozambique’s trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 15.6% of its seaborne trade. That is $2.4 billion of exports and $1.3 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are Italy, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands.

Summary

Estimated value
$3.7billion
Of its seaborne trade
15.6%
Exports
$2.4billion
Imports
$1.3billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Mozambique’s estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope rose 27% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Mozambique 3.7

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$250 million36.4%
1996$232 million46.9%
1997$259 million47.5%
1998$261 million48.1%
1999$236 million26.8%
2000$365 million38.4%
2001$642 million52%
2002$897 million49.2%
2003$798 million47%
2004$2 billion61.7%
2005$1.4 billion47.4%
2006$1.8 billion44.4%
2007$1.7 billion39.1%
2008$3 billion48.7%
2009$1.4 billion32.1%
2010$2.8 billion45.3%
2011$3.9 billion43.4%
2012$3.4 billion36.9%
2013$4.2 billion33.8%
2014$2.4 billion22.5%
2015$3.1 billion27.2%
2016$2.4 billion23.7%
2017$2.5 billion20%
2018$3.7 billion24.4%
2019$2.9 billion21.8%
2020$3 billion25.7%
2021$4 billion21.2%
2022$4.4 billion16.6%
2023$4 billion16.1%
2024$3.7 billion15.6%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Mozambique–Italy$475 million · 12.8%
  2. Mozambique–United Kingdom$375 million · 10.1%
  3. Mozambique–Netherlands$367 million · 9.9%
  4. Mozambique–Poland$295 million · 7.9%
  5. Mozambique–Germany$251 million · 6.7%
  6. Mozambique–Portugal$250 million · 6.7%
  7. Mozambique–United States$230 million · 6.2%
  8. Mozambique–Spain$184 million · 5%
  9. Mozambique–Argentina$156 million · 4.2%
  10. Mozambique–Switzerland$144 million · 3.9%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Unwrought aluminum$1.4 billion · 37.5%
  2. Coal$263 million · 7.1%
  3. Wheat$167 million · 4.5%
  4. Raw tobacco$162 million · 4.4%
  5. Aluminum wire$140 million · 3.8%
  6. Soybean oil$121 million · 3.2%
  7. Titanium ore$104 million · 2.8%
  8. Petroleum coke and bitumen$60 million · 1.6%
  9. Frozen fish$47 million · 1.3%
  10. Poultry meat$43 million · 1.2%

Reference ports

Maputo (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints