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How dependent is Uzbekistan on Kazakhstan?

In 2024, Kazakhstan sold $2.7 billion to Uzbekistan, 7.5% of its imports, ranking 3rd among its suppliers. Its share was 9% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. In 28 products it sells more than 50% of what Uzbekistan buys of them (in 16, more than 75%); what Uzbekistan buys from Kazakhstan in those products (dominated value) adds up to $1.4 billion, 3.9% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
7.5%
Value imported
$2.7billion
Rank among its suppliers
3rd
Products where it sells over 50%
28
Products where it sells over 75%
16
Dominated value
$1.4billion
Share of total imports
3.9%

Trend

Trend in shares

Kazakhstan went from 0% to 7.5% of what Uzbekistan buys

Share (%)

  • Kazakhstan 7.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199500%—
199600%—
199700%—
19981194.7%8
199900%—
2000482.9%11
20011507.5%4
20021015.5%6
20031386.3%7
20042027.6%4
20052437.6%4
20063859.6%4
200787213.9%2
20081,27214.5%3
200989211.5%4
20101,10113.4%4
20111,17912.3%4
20121,34412.6%4
20131,1459.2%4
20141,0848.2%4
20159419%4
20169219.6%4
20171,1638.8%4
20181,6518.9%4
20192,0219%4
20202,0309.8%4
20212,50510.3%3
20223,16210.8%3
20233,0168%3
20242,7437.5%3

Products where Kazakhstan sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
WheatKazakhstan98.9%over 75%Russia · 1%$552 million
Semi-finished steelKazakhstan61.4%Russia · 35.5%$173 million
Sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oilKazakhstan60.2%Russia · 39.7%$163 million
Wheat flourKazakhstan90.1%over 75%Russia · 9.5%$133 million
Steel barsKazakhstan50.5%Russia · 45.6%$55 million
Zinc oreKazakhstan53.5%Tajikistan · 36%$39 million
LigniteKazakhstan56.4%Kyrgyzstan · 43.5%$35 million
PotatoesKazakhstan60.3%Pakistan · 14.9%$34 million
Meal from other oilseedsKazakhstan99.8%over 75%Russia · 0.13%$34 million
Aluminum wireKazakhstan62.5%Russia · 34.1%$32 million
AsbestosKazakhstan68.9%Russia · 31.1%$30 million
Lamb and goat meatKazakhstan89.1%over 75%Mongolia · 10.8%$27 million
Aluminum cans, drums and containersKazakhstan58.6%Russia · 25.7%$26 million
BarleyKazakhstan90.6%over 75%Russia · 9.4%$20 million
Paper boxes and packagingKazakhstan62.6%Turkey · 10.6%$18 million
SilverKazakhstan86.4%over 75%Switzerland · 13.1%$15 million
SoybeansKazakhstan100%over 75%China · 0%$12 million
Bran and milling residuesKazakhstan83.2%over 75%Russia · 15.9%$9 million
Alloy steel ingots and semi-finished productsKazakhstan94.3%over 75%Russia · 3.9%$5 million
FlaxseedKazakhstan94.8%over 75%Russia · 5.2%$4 million
Live horses, donkeys and mulesKazakhstan62.6%Kyrgyzstan · 27.7%$4 million
Soybean oilKazakhstan99.6%over 75%Turkey · 0.45%$3 million
BariteKazakhstan74.5%Kyrgyzstan · 19.3%$3 million
Gravel and crushed stoneKazakhstan90.1%over 75%Russia · 5%$2 million
Raw cottonKazakhstan96.3%over 75%Turkey · 2.4%$2 million
CarbidesKazakhstan89.6%over 75%Iran · 9.4%$2 million
Natural phosphatesKazakhstan100%over 75%Germany · 0%$1 million
Cocoa pasteKazakhstan77.8%over 75%Malaysia · 18.7%$1 million

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Kazakhstan

Uzbekistan is Kazakhstan’s 12th-largest customer, with 3% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.