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How dependent is South Sudan on Uganda?

In 2024, Uganda sold $490 million to South Sudan, 43.5% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 33.6% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. In 38 products it sells more than 50% of what South Sudan buys of them (in 23, more than 75%); what South Sudan buys from Uganda in those products (dominated value) adds up to $397 million, 35.3% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
43.5%
Value imported
$490million
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
38
Products where it sells over 75%
23
Dominated value
$397million
Share of total imports
35.3%

Trend

Trend in shares

Uganda went from 0% to 43.5% of what South Sudan buys

Share (%)

  • Uganda 43.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199500%—
199600%—
199700%—
199800%—
199900%—
200000%—
200100%—
200200%—
200300%—
200400%—
200500%—
200600%—
200700%—
200800%—
200900%—
201000%—
201100%—
20121714%4
201315036%1
201424945.7%1
201523530.9%1
201618935.7%1
201725446.4%1
201830236.4%1
201934133.6%1
202035732%1
202148435.3%1
202260538.4%1
202353633%1
202449043.5%1

Products where Uganda sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Other cereal floursUganda99.6%over 75%Tanzania · 0.19%$48 million
Cane and beet sugarUganda98.4%over 75%Saudi Arabia · 1.2%$45 million
CementUganda67.5%Kenya · 32.4%$39 million
Steel barsUganda94%over 75%Kenya · 4.2%$32 million
Wheat flourUganda66.5%Turkey · 19.2%$27 million
Soft drinksUganda91.1%over 75%Austria · 6%$23 million
SoapUganda87%over 75%Kenya · 12.8%$20 million
Palm oilUganda69.2%Kenya · 30.5%$17 million
Welded steel pipesUganda91%over 75%Kenya · 3.6%$17 million
Cigarettes and cigarsUganda79.7%over 75%Tanzania · 17.5%$15 million
Ceramic tilesUganda96%over 75%India · 1.5%$15 million
Dried legumes (beans, lentils, peas)Uganda59.1%United States · 19%$13 million
Plastic packagingUganda80.6%over 75%Kenya · 9.8%$10 million
Other processed tobaccoUganda99.3%over 75%India · 0.42%$8 million
TeaUganda56.3%Kenya · 39.2%$7 million
Water-based paints and varnishesUganda75.2%over 75%Kenya · 24.4%$7 million
CornUganda93.5%over 75%Tanzania · 6.5%$6 million
MotorcyclesUganda64.5%China · 32.9%$6 million
SpiritsUganda70.9%Kenya · 27.7%$5 million
Dishwashers and packing machinesUganda67.2%China · 31.8%$4 million
Mattresses, pillows and quiltsUganda70.4%United States · 14%$4 million
Powdered and condensed milkUganda78.3%over 75%Kenya · 20.7%$4 million
PlywoodUganda98.6%over 75%China · 1.4%$3 million
Fresh milk and creamUganda71.9%Slovenia · 13.5%$3 million
Iron or steel nails and tacksUganda91.3%over 75%Kenya · 4.5%$2 million
Steel angles and sectionsUganda87.1%over 75%China · 8.3%$2 million
Ethyl alcohol (ethanol)Uganda84.1%over 75%Tanzania · 14.8%$2 million
Live sheep and goatsUganda100%over 75%—$2 million
Makeup and skin careUganda53.9%Kenya · 25.6%$2 million
Bulk medicinesUganda79.2%over 75%China · 11.5%$1 million

and 8 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Uganda

South Sudan is Uganda’s 4th-largest customer, with 5.6% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.