How dependent is Poland on Ukraine?

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

• Ukraine sells 1.8% of what the world exports of iron ore; next come Australia (54.2%), Brazil (20.8%) and Canada (4.4%). The rest of the world exported 343.4 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 29.5% of what the world exports of sunflower, safflower and cottonseed oil; next come Russia (24.1%), Turkey (7%) and Netherlands (5.9%). The rest of the world exported 35.6 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 2.5% of what the world exports of soybean oil; next come Argentina (44.4%), Brazil (10%) and Netherlands (3.9%). The rest of the world exported 57.5 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 10.2% of what the world exports of meal from other oilseeds; next come Canada (19.1%), Indonesia (18.2%) and Russia (6.6%). The rest of the world exported 70.3 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 1.8% of what the world exports of soybeans; next come Brazil (55.4%), United States (28.9%) and Paraguay (4.1%). The rest of the world exported 1,371.3 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 2.1% of what the world exports of cotton linters and other plant products; next come Indonesia (26.7%), India (10.5%) and Sri Lanka (7.9%). The rest of the world exported 60.6 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 2.1% of what the world exports of granulated blast-furnace slag; next come China (19.8%), Japan (19.1%) and South Africa (16.1%). The rest of the world exported 64.4 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 3.1% of what the world exports of lard and poultry fat; next come Germany (19.7%), Netherlands (12.8%) and France (10.1%). The rest of the world exported 54.4 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 3.9% of what the world exports of hoopwood, poles and wooden stakes; next come Latvia (10%), United States (6.5%) and Hungary (5.2%). The rest of the world exported 63.7 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.
• Ukraine sells 0.14% of what the world exports of quartz and quartzite; next come China (18.8%), United States (17.8%) and India (17.4%). The rest of the world exported 800 times what Poland buys from Ukraine.

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Poland is Ukraine’s 1st-largest customer, with 10.3% of its exports.

• Trade between Poland and Ukraine
• Who does Poland rely on?
• Who does Ukraine rely on?
• Dependence of Poland on China
• Dependence of Poland on Germany
• Dependence of Poland on Saudi Arabia
• Dependence of Poland on the United States
• Dependence of Poland on South Korea
• Dependence of Poland on Bulgaria
• Dependence of Poland on Norway
• Dependence of Poland on Denmark
• Trade profile of Poland
• Trade profile of Ukraine
• All countries

Sources and licenses

• CEPII BACI · Licence Ouverte Etalab 2.0
• Natural Earth · Public domain

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.