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How dependent is Guatemala on the United States?

In 2024, the United States sold $9.7 billion to Guatemala, 29.5% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 36.3% in 2019 and 42% in 1995. In 54 products it sells more than 50% of what Guatemala buys of them (in 23, more than 75%); what Guatemala buys from the United States in those products (dominated value) adds up to $6.5 billion, 19.8% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
29.5%
Value imported
$9.7billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
54
Products where it sells over 75%
23
Dominated value
$6.5billion
Share of total imports
19.8%

Trend

Trend in shares

The United States went from 42% to 29.5% of what Guatemala buys

Share (%)

  • United States 29.5%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
19951,61542%1
19961,50139.7%1
19971,75038.8%1
19982,05138.2%1
19991,97437.6%1
20002,15136.8%1
20012,50039.1%1
20022,90340.4%1
20033,13740.6%1
20043,18136.5%1
20053,58632.6%1
20063,77135.5%1
20074,78334.3%1
20085,38035.9%1
20094,23435.4%1
20105,15936.3%1
20116,56039%1
20126,55537.8%1
20136,57236.8%1
20147,43339.7%1
20156,59736.4%1
20166,53837.9%1
20177,33239.1%1
20187,46437.4%1
20197,35836.3%1
20206,30734.1%1
20218,74532.5%1
202210,33632.1%1
20239,19230%1
20249,68129.5%1

Products where the United States sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumUnited States91.1%over 75%Canada · 2.2%$3.6 billion
Natural gas and LPGUnited States90.1%over 75%El Salvador · 9.5%$476 million
CornUnited States58.7%Brazil · 26.5%$301 million
Soybean meal and pelletsUnited States93.3%over 75%Argentina · 6.1%$262 million
PolyethyleneUnited States71.2%Mexico · 14%$260 million
Poultry meatUnited States98.5%over 75%El Salvador · 1%$207 million
Used clothingUnited States97.9%over 75%France · 0.5%$205 million
Kraft paper and paperboardUnited States69.5%Finland · 5.9%$197 million
Raw cottonUnited States99.6%over 75%Turkey · 0.29%$118 million
CheeseUnited States65.9%El Salvador · 14.5%$100 million
Petroleum coke and bitumenUnited States93.1%over 75%Mexico · 6.5%$94 million
PorkUnited States98.2%over 75%Canada · 0.81%$86 million
Frozen vegetablesUnited States86.1%over 75%Belgium · 6.4%$80 million
RiceUnited States66.6%Brazil · 17.8%$66 million
PVC and other vinyl polymersUnited States71%Mexico · 12.9%$65 million
Discs and storage mediaUnited States58.6%Costa Rica · 8.9%$55 million
Prepared meatUnited States84.6%over 75%Mexico · 9.5%$47 million
Starch, sugar and brewing residuesUnited States87.6%over 75%Belize · 10.7%$27 million
Waste paperUnited States62.3%El Salvador · 11.2%$25 million
SausagesUnited States62.8%Mexico · 23%$23 million
Live poultryUnited States73.7%El Salvador · 15.9%$18 million
Meat and fish mealUnited States63.6%El Salvador · 15.6%$16 million
Caustic soda and potashUnited States81.1%over 75%Mexico · 11.5%$15 million
Flight simulators and aircraft launch gearUnited States81.2%over 75%China · 8.8%$15 million
Cyclic hydrocarbonsUnited States86%over 75%China · 6.1%$12 million
Other clothing accessories (not knitted)United States78.3%over 75%China · 7.7%$12 million
AlcoholsUnited States51.9%China · 26.5%$11 million
PotatoesUnited States70.1%Canada · 20.7%$10 million
Yachts and pleasure boatsUnited States81.1%over 75%Italy · 9.7%$10 million
Lard and poultry fatUnited States95%over 75%Nicaragua · 4.9%$7 million

and 24 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from the United States

Guatemala is the United States’ 34th-largest customer, with 0.52% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.