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How much of Guinea’s trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $13.2 billion of Guinea’s trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 80.7% of its seaborne trade. That is $8.4 billion of exports and $4.9 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, India and Malaysia.

Summary

Estimated value
$13.2billion
Of its seaborne trade
80.7%
Exports
$8.4billion
Imports
$4.9billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Guinea’s estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope rose 199% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Guinea 13.2

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$166 million9.9%
1996$174 million10.1%
1997$247 million14.9%
1998$190 million11.8%
1999$274 million18%
2000$232 million14.9%
2001$224 million13.6%
2002$415 million22.9%
2003$336 million21.3%
2004$449 million22.7%
2005$521 million22.2%
2006$529 million20.3%
2007$678 million18.7%
2008$623 million15.1%
2009$553 million20.5%
2010$796 million21.6%
2011$1.1 billion24.6%
2012$1.1 billion24.6%
2013$1.2 billion23.9%
2014$1.7 billion32.7%
2015$1 billion24.9%
2016$1.9 billion36.3%
2017$3.1 billion50%
2018$3.8 billion54.8%
2019$4.4 billion57.9%
2020$4.6 billion57.1%
2021$5.2 billion57.3%
2022$7.1 billion61.2%
2023$9.4 billion64.4%
2024$13.2 billion80.7%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Guinea–China$11.5 billion · 86.9%
  2. Guinea–India$1 billion · 7.7%
  3. Guinea–Malaysia$329 million · 2.5%
  4. Guinea–Indonesia$193 million · 1.5%
  5. Guinea–South Korea$51 million · 0.39%
  6. Guinea–South Africa$42 million · 0.32%
  7. Guinea–Thailand$26 million · 0.19%
  8. Guinea–Japan$18 million · 0.14%
  9. Guinea–Australia$16 million · 0.12%
  10. Guinea–Singapore$16 million · 0.12%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Bauxite (aluminum ore)$7.8 billion · 59.2%
  2. Rice$427 million · 3.2%
  3. Cocoa beans$327 million · 2.5%
  4. Bulldozers and excavators$229 million · 1.7%
  5. Trucks$196 million · 1.5%
  6. Steel structures$189 million · 1.4%
  7. Parts for cranes and excavators$147 million · 1.1%
  8. Palm oil$133 million · 1%
  9. Motorcycles$127 million · 0.96%
  10. Cargo and cruise ships$98 million · 0.74%

Reference ports

Conakry (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints