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How dependent is Lithuania on Poland?

In 2024, Poland sold $5.8 billion to Lithuania, 13.8% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 11.2% in 2019 and 4.3% in 1995. In 37 products it sells more than 50% of what Lithuania buys of them (in 5, more than 75%); what Lithuania buys from Poland in those products (dominated value) adds up to $652 million, 1.6% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
13.8%
Value imported
$5.8billion
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
37
Products where it sells over 75%
5
Dominated value
$652million
Share of total imports
1.6%

Trend

Trend in shares

Poland went from 4.3% to 13.8% of what Lithuania buys

Share (%)

  • Poland 13.8%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
19951634.3%3
19962435%3
19973445.8%3
19984237.1%3
19993637.2%3
20003305.6%3
20013995.9%3
20024495.5%3
20036226.1%3
20049957.7%3
20051,2948%3
20061,8449.2%3
20072,54710.1%3
20083,0419.6%3
20091,7539.2%3
20101,9588.2%3
20112,7398.5%3
20122,9569.1%3
20133,16110.1%3
20143,1428.9%3
20152,7229.7%3
20162,81610.2%3
20173,24610.2%3
20183,90210.8%3
20194,01011.2%2
20204,09012.3%2
20215,04811.5%3
20226,05611.7%2
20235,92312.6%2
20245,79613.8%1

Products where Poland sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Poultry meatPoland71.7%Ukraine · 4.7%$83 million
Fiberboard (MDF)Poland70.8%Germany · 15.2%$83 million
Steel angles and sectionsPoland53.2%Germany · 19.9%$59 million
Plastic building fittingsPoland61.4%Germany · 7.6%$59 million
Prepared meatPoland55.6%Latvia · 16.3%$44 million
Canned vegetablesPoland57%Germany · 8.4%$43 million
Float glassPoland81.4%over 75%Belgium · 11.3%$39 million
Cigarettes and cigarsPoland50.9%Germany · 13.4%$37 million
Aluminum cans, drums and containersPoland59.2%Estonia · 19.7%$23 million
Butter and milk fatsPoland54%Belgium · 12.2%$23 million
Petroleum coke and bitumenPoland97.5%over 75%Latvia · 1.4%$20 million
Steel wire mesh, netting and fencingPoland60.2%Latvia · 12%$20 million
Synthetic rubberPoland57.1%Italy · 15.3%$18 million
Rock wool and mineral insulationPoland62.1%Czechia · 7.5%$16 million
Insulating glass unitsPoland62.5%Turkey · 16.1%$11 million
Metal caps and lidsPoland52.5%Ukraine · 20.5%$10 million
Steel sheet pilingPoland55.9%Spain · 19.5%$10 million
CandlesPoland63.2%Latvia · 9.7%$9 million
Live poultryPoland54.9%Hungary · 15.5%$7 million
Razors and razor bladesPoland72.5%Czechia · 8.9%$7 million
Asphalt roofing and membranesPoland50.3%Germany · 22.1%$6 million
Quicklime and slaked limePoland73.6%Latvia · 25.3%$5 million
Condoms and other rubber hygiene articlesPoland55.1%Latvia · 16%$4 million
Ketones and quinones (acetone)Poland57.7%Spain · 10.5%$3 million
Watch movementsPoland55.1%Latvia · 22.2%$3 million
DolomitePoland96.2%over 75%Norway · 3.3%$2 million
Radioactive elementsPoland74.3%Germany · 11.1%$2 million
Paper clips, staples and binder fittingsPoland60.8%China · 11.7%$2 million
Baby clothes (not knitted)Poland56.8%Spain · 13.4%$2 million
Rabbit, game and other meatPoland70.1%Czechia · 11%$1 million

and 7 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Poland

Lithuania is Poland’s 18th-largest customer, with 1.7% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.