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How dependent is Guinea-Bissau on Portugal?

In 2024, Portugal sold $127 million to Guinea-Bissau, 24% of its imports, ranking 1st among its suppliers. Its share was 30.8% in 2019 and 26.1% in 1995. In 8 products it sells more than 50% of what Guinea-Bissau buys of them (in 7, more than 75%); what Guinea-Bissau buys from Portugal in those products (dominated value) adds up to $82 million, 15.5% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
24%
Value imported
$127million
Rank among its suppliers
1st
Products where it sells over 50%
8
Products where it sells over 75%
7
Dominated value
$82million
Share of total imports
15.5%

Trend

Trend in shares

Portugal went from 26.1% to 24% of what Guinea-Bissau buys

Share (%)

  • Portugal 24%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
19953026.1%2
19962831.2%1
19972830.9%1
19981725%1
19991824.7%1
20002528.7%1
20012025.7%1
20021924%2
20033123%1
20042923.2%2
20054117.9%3
20063422%2
20074723.7%2
20086024.8%2
20094716.3%2
20105725%1
20118928.2%1
20129230%1
20139328.9%1
20148519.9%2
20158024.1%1
20168328%1
201710227.1%1
201812234.2%1
201910230.8%1
20208425.5%1
202110925.8%1
202213832.4%1
202313824.2%2
202412724%1

Products where Portugal sells more than half

ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
Refined petroleumPortugal75.3%over 75%Senegal · 11.3%$58 million
BeerPortugal97.9%over 75%France · 0.93%$11 million
WinePortugal89.4%over 75%Spain · 9.9%$8 million
Soybean oilPortugal100%over 75%—$2 million
Yogurt and fermented milkPortugal96.6%over 75%Spain · 3.4%$1 million
Roofing tiles and other ceramic building partsPortugal97.7%over 75%Brazil · 1.7%$1 million
Plastic pipes and hosesPortugal55.6%China · 14.1%$934 thousand
Fresh milk and creamPortugal78.4%over 75%Senegal · 11.6%$897 thousand

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Portugal

Guinea-Bissau is Portugal’s 49th-largest customer, with 0.15% of its exports.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.