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How much of Serbia’s trade passes through the Øresund?

In 2024, an estimated $3.5 billion of Serbia’s trade passed through the Øresund, 7.4% of its seaborne trade. That is $1.5 billion of exports and $2 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are Poland, Russia and Sweden.

Summary

Estimated value
$3.5billion
Of its seaborne trade
7.4%
Exports
$1.5billion
Imports
$2billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Serbia’s estimated trade through the Øresund rose 23% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Serbia 3.5

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$11 million3.6%
1996$230 million5.8%
1997$305 million5.7%
1998$304 million5.3%
1999$201 million5.5%
2000$216 million5.3%
2001$326 million6.4%
2002$411 million6.5%
2003$227 million4.1%
2004$813 million7.7%
2005$428 million5.2%
2006$1.2 billion9.5%
2007$1.5 billion8.3%
2008$2 billion9%
2009$1.1 billion8%
2010$1.5 billion9.2%
2011$2 billion9.7%
2012$1.8 billion9.6%
2013$2.5 billion10.3%
2014$2.6 billion11.4%
2015$2.2 billion10.1%
2016$2 billion9.1%
2017$2.5 billion9.7%
2018$2.6 billion9.1%
2019$2.9 billion9.4%
2020$2.5 billion8.6%
2021$3.3 billion8.5%
2022$4 billion9.1%
2023$3.5 billion7.8%
2024$3.5 billion7.4%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Serbia–Poland$2.2 billion · 62.2%
  2. Serbia–Russia$625 million · 17.8%
  3. Serbia–Sweden$279 million · 7.9%
  4. Serbia–Finland$249 million · 7.1%
  5. Serbia–Belarus$140 million · 4%
  6. Serbia–Estonia$36 million · 1%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Natural gas and LPG$264 million · 7.5%
  2. Cables and wire$151 million · 4.3%
  3. Copper ore$144 million · 4.1%
  4. Hot-rolled flat steel$115 million · 3.3%
  5. Coke$108 million · 3.1%
  6. New tires$101 million · 2.9%
  7. Seats and chairs$84 million · 2.4%
  8. Detergents and surfactants$75 million · 2.1%
  9. Refrigerators, freezers and heat pumps$68 million · 1.9%
  10. Coated paper$63 million · 1.8%

Reference ports

Bar (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

The Great Belt is not included in the estimate: only the trade that crosses the Øresund is counted.

All maritime chokepoints