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How much of Morocco’s trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $20.3 billion of Morocco’s trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 15.4% of its seaborne trade. That is $6.1 billion of exports and $14.2 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, India and the United Arab Emirates.

Summary

Estimated value
$20.3billion
Of its seaborne trade
15.4%
Exports
$6.1billion
Imports
$14.2billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Morocco’s estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope rose 11,695% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Morocco 20.3

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$34 million0.3%
1996$37 million0.3%
1997$92 million0.7%
1998$99 million0.7%
1999$83 million0.5%
2000$110 million0.7%
2001$154 million0.9%
2002$191 million1.1%
2003$139 million0.7%
2004$161 million0.7%
2005$317 million1.1%
2006$276 million0.9%
2007$301 million0.7%
2008$320 million0.6%
2009$154 million0.4%
2010$177 million0.4%
2011$67 million0.1%
2012$109 million0.2%
2013$88 million0.2%
2014$189 million0.3%
2015$508 million0.9%
2016$326 million0.6%
2017$215 million0.3%
2018$210 million0.3%
2019$172 million0.2%
2020$134 million0.2%
2021$278 million0.3%
2022$770 million0.7%
2023$366 million0.4%
2024$20.3 billion15.4%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Morocco–China$8.4 billion · 41.3%
  2. Morocco–India$2.8 billion · 13.9%
  3. Morocco–United Arab Emirates$1.5 billion · 7.3%
  4. Morocco–Bangladesh$978 million · 4.8%
  5. Morocco–South Korea$777 million · 3.8%
  6. Morocco–Australia$768 million · 3.8%
  7. Morocco–Djibouti$707 million · 3.5%
  8. Morocco–Japan$696 million · 3.4%
  9. Morocco–Pakistan$566 million · 2.8%
  10. Morocco–Bahrain$437 million · 2.2%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Mixed fertilizers$3 billion · 14.7%
  2. Refined petroleum$1.1 billion · 5.5%
  3. Phosphoric acid$806 million · 4%
  4. Unwrought aluminum$607 million · 3%
  5. Phosphate fertilizers$581 million · 2.9%
  6. Sulfur$560 million · 2.8%
  7. Natural phosphates$400 million · 2%
  8. Auto parts$319 million · 1.6%
  9. Other knitted fabric$289 million · 1.4%
  10. Refined copper$265 million · 1.3%

Reference ports

Tangier (30%) and Casablanca (70%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints