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How much of Uzbekistan’s trade passes through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait?

In 2024, an estimated $2.7 billion of Uzbekistan’s trade passed through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, 7.8% of its seaborne trade. That is $530 million of exports and $2.2 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, Russia and South Korea.

Summary

Estimated value
$2.7billion
Of its seaborne trade
7.8%
Exports
$530million
Imports
$2.2billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Uzbekistan’s estimated trade through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait fell 77% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Uzbekistan 2.7

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$538 million25.6%
1996$1.2 billion23.7%
1997$1.6 billion31.4%
1998$1 billion27.4%
1999$952 million33.3%
2000$835 million27.8%
2001$986 million31.3%
2002$859 million33.2%
2003$1.4 billion41.5%
2004$1.9 billion45.1%
2005$2.3 billion42.9%
2006$2.8 billion40.8%
2007$3.3 billion37.7%
2008$4.3 billion36.6%
2009$3.9 billion41.1%
2010$4.6 billion49.1%
2011$5.1 billion44.8%
2012$6 billion52%
2013$8.2 billion57.1%
2014$7.2 billion54.4%
2015$6 billion57.2%
2016$5.5 billion54.7%
2017$7.1 billion49.7%
2018$10.2 billion53.4%
2019$11.7 billion53.5%
2020$9.7 billion51.8%
2021$10.6 billion45.9%
2022$14.3 billion50.3%
2023$19.5 billion54.5%
2024$2.7 billion7.8%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Uzbekistan–China$1.7 billion · 60.9%
  2. Uzbekistan–Russia$416 million · 15.2%
  3. Uzbekistan–South Korea$257 million · 9.4%
  4. Uzbekistan–India$117 million · 4.3%
  5. Uzbekistan–Iran$57 million · 2.1%
  6. Uzbekistan–Pakistan$53 million · 1.9%
  7. Uzbekistan–Japan$41 million · 1.5%
  8. Uzbekistan–United Arab Emirates$33 million · 1.2%
  9. Uzbekistan–Singapore$18 million · 0.67%
  10. Uzbekistan–Malaysia$12 million · 0.46%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Cars$182 million · 6.7%
  2. Auto parts$148 million · 5.4%
  3. Natural gas and LPG$146 million · 5.4%
  4. Cotton yarn$80 million · 2.9%
  5. Refined copper$79 million · 2.9%
  6. Refined petroleum$70 million · 2.6%

If it closes

  • China–Uzbekistan: +6,726 nautical miles, ≈ 20 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Malacca and Singapore; the Cape of Good Hope; the Strait of Gibraltar; the Dardanelles; and the Bosporus
  • Russia–Uzbekistan: +6,725 nautical miles, ≈ 20 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Malacca and Singapore; the Cape of Good Hope; the Strait of Gibraltar; the Dardanelles; and the Bosporus
  • South Korea–Uzbekistan: +6,777 nautical miles, ≈ 20 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Malacca and Singapore; the Cape of Good Hope; the Strait of Gibraltar; the Dardanelles; and the Bosporus
  • India–Uzbekistan: +7,815 nautical miles, ≈ 23.5 days more at 14 knots, via the Cape of Good Hope, the Strait of Gibraltar, the Dardanelles and the Bosporus
  • Iran–Uzbekistan: +8,220 nautical miles, ≈ 24.5 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Hormuz, the Cape of Good Hope, the Strait of Gibraltar, the Dardanelles and the Bosporus

Estimated sailing detour, without costs, waiting or port capacity.

Reference ports

Batumi (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints