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How dependent is Afghanistan on Pakistan?

In 2024, Pakistan sold $1.5 billion to Afghanistan, 26.4% of its imports, ranking 2nd among its suppliers. Its share was 13.6% in 2019 and 0% in 1995. In 56 products it sells more than 50% of what Afghanistan buys of them (in 37, more than 75%); what Afghanistan buys from Pakistan in those products (dominated value) adds up to $1.4 billion, 23.9% of its imports.

Summary

Share of its imports
26.4%
Value imported
$1.5billion
Rank among its suppliers
2nd
Products where it sells over 50%
56
Products where it sells over 75%
37
Dominated value
$1.4billion
Share of total imports
23.9%

Trend

Pakistan went from 0% to 26.4% of what Afghanistan buys

Trend in shares

Pakistan went from 0% to 26.4% of what Afghanistan buys

Share (%)

  • Pakistan 26.4%

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearValue (USD millions)ShareRank
199500%—
199600%—
199700%—
199800%—
199900%—
200000%—
200100%—
200200%—
200340826.1%1
200448725.4%1
20051,06530.1%1
200699128.9%1
200783522.8%1
20081,47822.5%1
20091,29417.6%2
20101,64616.3%2
20112,67220.1%1
20122,29121.1%2
20132,45520%2
20142,22320.3%2
20152,19717%3
20161,74914.6%2
20172,07113.8%3
20181,71712.2%2
20191,75513.6%2
202087010.1%3
202183311.4%3
202297513.1%3
202396914.7%2
20241,51326.4%2

Products where Pakistan sells more than half

56 products, 23.9% of what it buys
ProductSupplierShareSecondValue
RicePakistan99.3%over 75%South Korea · 0.34%$390 million
Cane and beet sugarPakistan94.5%over 75%India · 3.5%$220 million
Medicines in measured doses or retail packsPakistan58.5%India · 26%$171 million
CementPakistan92.6%over 75%Uzbekistan · 7%$80 million
PotatoesPakistan99.9%over 75%Netherlands · 0.11%$55 million
Other food preparationsPakistan60.4%Germany · 12.8%$52 million
Aluminum cans, drums and containersPakistan99.5%over 75%China · 0.42%$43 million
Citrus fruitPakistan99.9%over 75%Egypt · 0.06%$42 million
Fiberboard (MDF)Pakistan93.8%over 75%China · 3.3%$30 million
Hydrogenated fats and oilsPakistan98.6%over 75%Sweden · 0.98%$27 million
Malt extract and food mixesPakistan67.1%Belgium · 13.9%$27 million
Bulk medicinesPakistan96.3%over 75%India · 1.4%$15 million
Polyethers, polyesters and epoxy resinsPakistan83.7%over 75%Turkey · 15.6%$15 million
Cereal groats and pelletsPakistan99.9%over 75%Turkey · 0.09%$15 million
Spinning and winding machinesPakistan97.2%over 75%Germany · 1.4%$14 million
Cabbage, cauliflower and broccoliPakistan100%over 75%—$12 million
CornPakistan97.2%over 75%Kazakhstan · 2.8%$10 million
Candy and sweetsPakistan73.4%Turkey · 8.2%$10 million
BananasPakistan90.7%over 75%India · 9.2%$10 million
Plastic tableware and household itemsPakistan79.1%over 75%China · 17%$9 million
Bread, biscuits and pastriesPakistan72%Uzbekistan · 15.1%$8 million
Synthetic paints and varnishesPakistan57.6%Turkey · 39.8%$8 million
Avocados, mangoes, pineapples and datesPakistan95.8%over 75%Saudi Arabia · 4.1%$7 million
Rubber inner tubesPakistan68.6%China · 21.3%$6 million
Particle board and OSBPakistan99.3%over 75%Italy · 0.64%$6 million
StarchesPakistan98.3%over 75%Kazakhstan · 1.4%$5 million
Other sugarsPakistan86.9%over 75%China · 4.8%$5 million
SaltPakistan97.4%over 75%Uzbekistan · 1.7%$5 million
Polyurethane and other resinsPakistan51.1%Turkey · 31.9%$5 million
Detergents and surfactantsPakistan55.7%China · 26.8%$5 million

and 26 more

A product has a dominant supplier when a single country sells more than 50% of what is bought of it; we flag it separately above 75%.

Are there other suppliers in the world?

Exports from the rest of the world already have buyers; the figure shows scale, not availability.

Seen from Pakistan

Pakistan’s 7th customer, 4.1% of its sales

Afghanistan is Pakistan’s 7th-largest customer, with 4.1% of its exports.

Sources and method

CEPII BACI and 1 more

Sources and licenses

Methodology

The data come from CEPII BACI (Etalab 2.0 licence), which reconciles what the exporting and the importing country report, in current USD, FOB. Data up to 2024.

Dependence is the share of a country’s imports (or exports) that each partner accounts for. It does not measure whether a product has a substitute or how much it would cost to change supplier.

The concentration index (HHI) adds up the square of each partner’s share, in percent: it runs from 0 to 10,000. Its equivalent is 10,000 ÷ HHI, the number of partners of the same size that would give that value.

Products are HS4 headings of the 1992 nomenclature (some combine different goods), with a floor of $1 million per product and country.

The EU is the 27 current members in every year; the United Kingdom is outside the EU throughout the series.

Re-exports: countries that act as redistribution hubs carry their notice and the figures are not corrected.