Summary
- Estimated value
- $416.7billion
- Of its seaborne trade
- 33.2%
- Exports
- $215.5billion
- Imports
- $201.1billion
Trend
Estimated value per year
Germany’s estimated trade through the Strait of Gibraltar fell 30% between 2019 and 2024
Value in USD billions
- Germany 417
Source: CEPII BACI
Show the numbers
| Year | Estimated value | Of its seaborne trade |
|---|---|---|
| 1995 | $166 billion | 45.1% |
| 1996 | $176.6 billion | 45.8% |
| 1997 | $182.6 billion | 44.7% |
| 1998 | $186.3 billion | 45.1% |
| 1999 | $188.1 billion | 45.2% |
| 2000 | $201.7 billion | 45.8% |
| 2001 | $204 billion | 45.3% |
| 2002 | $215 billion | 44.3% |
| 2003 | $255.5 billion | 45.8% |
| 2004 | $303.8 billion | 46.8% |
| 2005 | $341.3 billion | 46.8% |
| 2006 | $396.8 billion | 47.2% |
| 2007 | $456.5 billion | 48.3% |
| 2008 | $519.6 billion | 50.8% |
| 2009 | $409.2 billion | 51.9% |
| 2010 | $498.1 billion | 52.5% |
| 2011 | $587.6 billion | 53.3% |
| 2012 | $547.1 billion | 52.5% |
| 2013 | $565.9 billion | 52.7% |
| 2014 | $578.9 billion | 52.3% |
| 2015 | $517.3 billion | 51.1% |
| 2016 | $524.6 billion | 52.6% |
| 2017 | $569.5 billion | 52.7% |
| 2018 | $614.6 billion | 53.2% |
| 2019 | $595.4 billion | 53.1% |
| 2020 | $559 billion | 55% |
| 2021 | $667.9 billion | 54.8% |
| 2022 | $727 billion | 53.6% |
| 2023 | $706.3 billion | 54.1% |
| 2024 | $416.7 billion | 33.2% |
Partners whose trade crosses it
Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.
What crosses it
The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.
If it closes
- Germany–Italy: +11,011 nautical miles, ≈ 33 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal
- Germany–Hungary: +10,043 nautical miles, ≈ 30 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal
- Germany–Turkey: +9,376 nautical miles, ≈ 28 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, the Suez Canal and the Dardanelles
- Germany–Slovakia: +10,042 nautical miles, ≈ 30 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal
- Germany–Romania: +9,374 nautical miles, ≈ 28 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, the Suez Canal, the Dardanelles and the Bosporus
Estimated sailing detour, without costs, waiting or port capacity.
Reference ports
Hamburg (88%) and Rostock (12%)
Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.
Keep reading
Sources and method
Sources and licenses
- CEPII BACI · Licence Ouverte Etalab 2.0
- World Bank, Global Shipping Traffic Density · CC BY 4.0 (route network derived by this site)
- World Port Index (NGA) · Public domain (US Government work)
- Natural Earth · Public domain
- Kummu et al., gridded GDP · CC BY 4.0 (split between ports done by this site)
Methodology
We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.