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How much of Germany’s trade passes through the Strait of Gibraltar?

In 2024, an estimated $416.7 billion of Germany’s trade passed through the Strait of Gibraltar, 33.2% of its seaborne trade. That is $215.5 billion of exports and $201.1 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are Italy, Hungary and Turkey.

Summary

Estimated value
$416.7billion
Of its seaborne trade
33.2%
Exports
$215.5billion
Imports
$201.1billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Germany’s estimated trade through the Strait of Gibraltar fell 30% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Germany 417

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$166 billion45.1%
1996$176.6 billion45.8%
1997$182.6 billion44.7%
1998$186.3 billion45.1%
1999$188.1 billion45.2%
2000$201.7 billion45.8%
2001$204 billion45.3%
2002$215 billion44.3%
2003$255.5 billion45.8%
2004$303.8 billion46.8%
2005$341.3 billion46.8%
2006$396.8 billion47.2%
2007$456.5 billion48.3%
2008$519.6 billion50.8%
2009$409.2 billion51.9%
2010$498.1 billion52.5%
2011$587.6 billion53.3%
2012$547.1 billion52.5%
2013$565.9 billion52.7%
2014$578.9 billion52.3%
2015$517.3 billion51.1%
2016$524.6 billion52.6%
2017$569.5 billion52.7%
2018$614.6 billion53.2%
2019$595.4 billion53.1%
2020$559 billion55%
2021$667.9 billion54.8%
2022$727 billion53.6%
2023$706.3 billion54.1%
2024$416.7 billion33.2%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Germany–Italy$117.3 billion · 28.2%
  2. Germany–Hungary$46 billion · 11%
  3. Germany–Turkey$43 billion · 10.3%
  4. Germany–Slovakia$34.5 billion · 8.3%
  5. Germany–Romania$32.7 billion · 7.8%
  6. Germany–China$23.4 billion · 5.6%
  7. Germany–Slovenia$11.8 billion · 2.8%
  8. Germany–Greece$8.8 billion · 2.1%
  9. Germany–Bulgaria$8.5 billion · 2.1%
  10. Germany–Serbia$7.9 billion · 1.9%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Cars$44.6 billion · 10.7%
  2. Auto parts$31.6 billion · 7.6%
  3. Crude petroleum$11 billion · 2.6%
  4. Cables and wire$9.6 billion · 2.3%
  5. Trucks$5.7 billion · 1.4%
  6. Engine parts$5.4 billion · 1.3%
  7. Other plastic articles$5.1 billion · 1.2%
  8. Other industrial machines$4.5 billion · 1.1%

If it closes

  • Germany–Italy: +11,011 nautical miles, ≈ 33 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal
  • Germany–Hungary: +10,043 nautical miles, ≈ 30 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal
  • Germany–Turkey: +9,376 nautical miles, ≈ 28 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, the Suez Canal and the Dardanelles
  • Germany–Slovakia: +10,042 nautical miles, ≈ 30 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal
  • Germany–Romania: +9,374 nautical miles, ≈ 28 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, the Suez Canal, the Dardanelles and the Bosporus

Estimated sailing detour, without costs, waiting or port capacity.

Reference ports

Hamburg (88%) and Rostock (12%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints