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How much of Italy’s trade passes through the Strait of Gibraltar?

In 2024, an estimated $483.6 billion of Italy’s trade passed through the Strait of Gibraltar, 65.5% of its seaborne trade. That is $242.7 billion of exports and $240.9 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are Germany, the United States and China.

Summary

Estimated value
$483.6billion
Of its seaborne trade
65.5%
Exports
$242.7billion
Imports
$240.9billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Italy’s estimated trade through the Strait of Gibraltar rose 48% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Italy 484

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$151.7 billion61.3%
1996$157.7 billion60.1%
1997$159.4 billion59.7%
1998$167.8 billion61.2%
1999$167 billion61.1%
2000$168.3 billion57.7%
2001$167.3 billion57.2%
2002$175.4 billion56.9%
2003$198.4 billion55.5%
2004$230 billion54.3%
2005$244.8 billion53.1%
2006$274.9 billion51.7%
2007$322.1 billion52%
2008$344.3 billion50.6%
2009$257.9 billion51%
2010$292.3 billion49.1%
2011$343.4 billion50.5%
2012$301.2 billion49.3%
2013$307 billion50.3%
2014$321.3 billion51.8%
2015$283.4 billion51.8%
2016$283.7 billion51.7%
2017$313.4 billion51.3%
2018$345.2 billion51.7%
2019$327.5 billion52.2%
2020$293.5 billion54.3%
2021$375.6 billion52.2%
2022$415.6 billion49.6%
2023$410.8 billion51.9%
2024$483.6 billion65.5%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Italy–Germany$117.3 billion · 24.3%
  2. Italy–United States$48.6 billion · 10.1%
  3. Italy–China$36.5 billion · 7.5%
  4. Italy–Netherlands$33 billion · 6.8%
  5. Italy–Poland$30.2 billion · 6.3%
  6. Italy–United Kingdom$26.8 billion · 5.5%
  7. Italy–Belgium$22.7 billion · 4.7%
  8. Italy–Czechia$15.1 billion · 3.1%
  9. Italy–India$9.3 billion · 1.9%
  10. Italy–Brazil$8.6 billion · 1.8%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Cars$27.6 billion · 5.7%
  2. Auto parts$15.2 billion · 3.2%
  3. Crude petroleum$11.2 billion · 2.3%
  4. Refined petroleum$8.6 billion · 1.8%
  5. Natural gas and LPG$8.1 billion · 1.7%
  6. Wine$7.4 billion · 1.5%
  7. Valves and taps$6.9 billion · 1.4%
  8. Furniture$5.6 billion · 1.2%
  9. Cheese$5.5 billion · 1.1%

If it closes

  • Germany–Italy: +11,011 nautical miles, ≈ 33 days more at 14 knots, via the Strait of Dover, the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal
  • Italy–United States: +9,870 nautical miles, ≈ 29.5 days more at 14 knots, via the Suez Canal, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Cape of Good Hope
  • Italy–Netherlands: +11,024 nautical miles, ≈ 33 days more at 14 knots, via the Suez Canal, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, the Cape of Good Hope and the Strait of Dover
  • Italy–Poland: +11,018 nautical miles, ≈ 33 days more at 14 knots, via the Suez Canal, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, the Cape of Good Hope, the Strait of Dover and the Øresund
  • United Kingdom–Italy: +11,027 nautical miles, ≈ 33 days more at 14 knots, via the Cape of Good Hope, the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal

Estimated sailing detour, without costs, waiting or port capacity.

Reference ports

Genoa (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints